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Well, US would have nobody else but themselves to blame. They spent around 5 billion on SpaceX and have nothing to show for it. They are still using mostly the same NASA tech used in Apollo mission 50 years ago...
I'm confident that Americans will find someone else to blame.
Maybe they'll blame the Woke scientists and engineers. Maybe they'll insist they were sabotaged by the nefarious Chinese or insidious Russian agents. Maybe they'll complain that Liberal Arts Colleges aren't giving them enough STEM majors to make it happen.
At some level, there's only so many ways to escape the gravity well. But it is curious to see that we've still never really tried the more classic proposed solution of building launch sites in the high altitude equatorial regions to reducing launch costs.
Space travel is still just a sinecure for big business.
SpaceX has nothing to do with the SLS debacle.
Starship has launched multiple times, has made it to orbit and through re-entry. Both of those test flights, while not 100% successful, were more successful than expected. Neither flight was expected to be perfect, despite what a lot of media reports seem to have wanted to portray for whatever reason.
Watch Destin from StarterEveryDay speech and analysis at American Astronautical Society. Launching something into space is a small part of the space mission, the easiest part really since you have full control and resources on Earth and can easily pivot.