this post was submitted on 05 Mar 2025
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It's not about being competitive against Chinese EVs, it's about preventing China from attacking us economically, politically, and potentially even digitally.
These aren't just dumb vehicles, they're running Chinese made software, for a Chinese company, and reporting data back to China.
They're not just manufactured in China like you may have with other digital devices, with the software control and data residing in more friendly nations.
That matters.
We already have Chinese phones, applications, computers and networks.
I don't believe cars are not a meaningful attack vector relative to the economic benefit. Tiktok is a far larger threat.
The trade disputes related to Meng Wanzhou are nothing in comparison to what the US is doing right now.
In case you hadn't noticed, Chinese devices are frequently banned in Canada, especially for government use.
Chinese gear in telecom networks is either not allowed or being phased out. Chinese cellphones are not allowed for government use. Chinese apps are not allowed on government machines.
I do believe cars are a meaningful attack vector, with enough market penetration the ability to just "turn them off" could cripple the country, and there's not much point in letting them in if we limit the percentage down to something that would lessen the impact.
I don't see that happening outside of an outright war with China. I dont think that's very likely. If you have evidence of them doing stuff like that already I'd be open to changing my mind on the topic.
I think it's much more likely they'll just continue buying up our companies like Husky and trying to turn us into an economic puppet state. Which is still better than the stated American alternative of being the 51st state.
They lose that power and risk nationalization of their assets if they go too far. They know that.
Why do you think there wouldn't be an outright war with China?
They plan on invading Taiwan at some point, and we'll probably be funding the defence there.
They've already got paid at that point, and with the sanctions we're likely to slap on them we wouldn't be buying more anyways, so why wouldn't they just brick all the existing cars in retaliation? or use it as a threat to try to keep us from retaliating?
They've been planning on invading Taiwan for nearly a decade.
That conflict overall is as old as the CCP. The reason it ended was the US threatening to step in: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM4900.html
China holds Trillions in foreign assets in the West, they'd be kissing that all goodbye.
I'd bet on Russia getting invaded by China far sooner than Taiwan. In fact, either than the Sino-Vietnam war, the war with the Soviets is their most recent war.
Russia simply has less allies and has more of what China needs and wants, fresh water, uncontested ports and oil among many other things. They also have a (recent) historic claim to Outer Manchuria too.
Even Russia knows this:
https://www.ft.com/content/758ff1ca-6ac1-4188-9b61-c514638447b1
As the war with Ukraine grinds soviet stockpiles down, Russia gets weaker and weaker. Taiwan on the other hand has a lot of allies and is very defensible.
Chinese philosophy and military doctrine is clear. The threats to Taiwan escalate while railways are being made towards the Russian Far East 'for trade'.
"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near."
"Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt."
Invading Taiwan might be the most obvious, telegraphed invasion in history.