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this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2026
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Samo Burja of Leverage Research and Palladium Magazine is trying to pivot to respectability https://samoburja.com/ He also has a Substack blog. People call him a sociologist and a political scirentist but he seems (echo me) entirely self-published except for a few opinion pieces and his highest educational credential is "studied at the University of Ljubljana." The Long Now Foundation gave him money which is disappointing.
I remember him tweeting in February 2022 where immediately after the invasion he confidently predicted that Russia would gobble up all of Ukraine in a matter of weeks. Unlike all those legacy academics with their degrees he really see into the future of governance, you see.
That was the party line in the American foreign-policy crowd since winter 2021/2022. They thought that if the 'great power' Russia invaded, Ukraine would fall. So Burja's tweet was not even original, just the same thing any 23-year-old staffer in a new suit was writing.
Yeah, the party-line was far from realistic and reflected the West's own imperial hubris, but there's a spectrum there. When the fullscale invasion finally happened, the Jake Sullivans weren't going around for weeks about how Ukraine is doomed. And again, there was at least some room in the mainstream for eastern europeans or even just people who had traveled in Ukraine and understood the country & the people. In that regard Samo shares much more with the vatniks (sorry, the "realists") like John Mearsheimer and The Economist, who kept (and still keep) telling people Russia would win any day now.