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The original was posted on /r/singularity by /u/ivanmf on 2024-10-09 12:04:36+00:00.
You all know what I mean and the theories around it.
October next year I don't think anyone will have the slightest certainty of making a video call with a stranger and be sure they exist in flesh. Extrapolating to securiry concerns, you might even be suspicious of someone you do know videocalling you from a known communication source.
I'm in the audiovisual industry for a little over 20 years. Right now I know how to operate all tools to make a digital copy of myself that could almost act by itself on my behalf (elevenlabs, live deepfake using simple overlay on a trained vector-based bone model of me and my way of speaking/gestures etc, unreal engine creating 3D spaces in real-time with soft environment interactions - you know the gist of it). It can cost a lot to build a custom cluster of 10x 4090 and having enough resources to run that (energy-wise, it's a big constraint), but we all know it's not impossible. In 2009 I was already working with projects for science and education using render farms, amazed by what Nvidia was capable of. Those who invested on GPU are way ahead (and Stable Horde was working on training models in cloud clusters for a while already, as announced that this is now being developed for large-scale projects).
How about October 2026? By then, how will you be able to know anything is real in any digital/virtual environment?
These are the final moments of verifiable truth, is what I mean... I think. Perhaps we're even past that.