this post was submitted on 04 Nov 2024
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Math Memes
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Where is this chart from?
Polymarket, probably. Probability market, i.e. betting site.
As someone else said, it’s a betting site, and the numbers it is showing are based on how much has been bet on any given candidate.
I think it’s fair to say that it’s not a reliable indicator of actual odds. It’s essentially a money weighted poll from a self selected population (people who would use an online betting site to bet on an election). So, it is not a good random sample of American voters, let alone a random sample of voters from swing states that actually decide the outcome.
It's a stupid betting site