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Fuck it. If nukes are an excuse to prevent all conventional intervention, then nukes are a free pass to commit any crimes one wishes against non-nuclear powers. Put boots on the ground, or accept nuclear proliferation as a fact of life once countries realize that Ukraine proves that giving up nukes does not result in international support for sovereignty against revanchist states.
Well... yeah.
The easy solution is to show that nukes are not protection against all conventional intervention. We should have given Zelenskyy a no-fly zone back when he asked for one.
"Easy." 👌
Easy as in simple, not easy as in likely or without cost.
Step 1: Put boots on Russian territory
Step 2: (nuclear) Winter is coming
Step 3: 💥 ~~profit~~ 💥
Nobody’s saying NATO should invade Russia.
We’re saying NATO could EASILY establish IADS over the vast majority of Ukraine to defend their civilian population and infrastructure.
Put up proof that you know this would happen, or stop fear-mongering.
But they are. Its been settled decades ago.
The only thing that surprises me in geopolitics right now is that Iran is not mass producing nukes yet.
It's a delicate process, not easy to simply produce a bunch of nuclear weapons. Iran is at the point where they could have a few inside of a year anytime they actually want to trigger that particular international crisis.
The moment they would try to make the last dash to nukes, is the moment the US would be bombing the everlasting shit out of Iran to prevent it.
Like they did in North Korea?
North Korea was under Chinese protection. This is what Iran likely is trying to do with Russia.
They've been clear that they don't do it because they don't think they'd make Iran more secure.
That is the assumption Russia is operating under.
Yeah this is such a losing strategy. All it does is authorize crimes in the short term and drive up nuclear proliferation in the long term.
Of course, the alternative is a game of chicken with nuclear powers to test the doctrine of mutually assured destruction.
Still, better to do that now than years from now with the smaller, more radical parties who will by then control nukes, thanks to the nuclear proliferation the current strategy drives.