this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2025
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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[–] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works -3 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

It doesn't have a record either way - it's an unknown.

[–] conditional_soup@lemm.ee 7 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

As opposed to the piss poor record of Goldman Sachsmanism, which has now lost to Trump twice

[–] ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works -1 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

I'm not convinced that Trump has done better against the Democrats than an ordinary pre-MAGA Republican candidate would have. It's normal for the party in power to switch every eight years, and in that context the unusual thing about Trump is not that he won in 2016 but that he lost in 2020. Biden/Harris's loss in 2024 is also unusual but so is running a senile candidate, forcing him to step aside far too late, and then replacing him with his vice president who has no significant accomplishments and no way to distance herself from his unpopular policies.

There is something important that Democrats need to change about their strategy, but that's running candidates based on their appeal to the public rather than on their seniority within the party. I had hoped that they learned that lesson after Hillary Clinton's failure but they didn't. I think they will do well if they run a young, charismatic centrist like Bill Clinton or Obama in 2028.