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So, its now around a day or two later.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/09/dramatic-sell-off-of-us-government-bonds-as-tariff-war-panic-deepens
I was right, Varoufakis is wrong.
Again, Varoufakis idea is:
and
Summarized, he thinks that:
US Bond prices will go up
and/or
US Bond yields will go down
and
The USD will appreciate compared to the Yen, Euro, Renminbi, that is to say, a dollar will be worth more yen, euro, ren.
What is actually happening is:
US Bond prices are going down.
US Bond yields are going up.
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/USD-JPY?window=1M
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/USD-EUR?window=1M
USD is depreciating, not appreciating, compared to yen and euro.
The USD/CNY is exchange rate is set at a fixed rate by China, and they haven't moved it yet.
So uh, no Mr. Varoufakis, Trump cannot have his cake and eat it too, infact he shit in the cake and then threw the mixture all around the room, now he gets nothing that he wanted.
Trump has destroyed the Bretton Woods USD hegemony, but in a way that is utterly catastrophic for the US, not some extremely clever 12D chess move.
I agreed with you. I just think that Varoufakis knew and just was not willing to write that the dollar will depreciate so he gave an explanation that doesn't make sense.
Nevertheless, I appreciate your detailed explanations.
Btw, here is a link of a blog post from 2023 that warned about the tariffs, with a link to the washington post:
https://www.un-diplomatic.com/p/the-newsletter-that-forewarned-of