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Predictions thread
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this post was submitted on 28 Apr 2025
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Historical turnouts: https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=ele&dir=turn&document=index&lang=e
I think 68% was damned close -- and similar to what we got in 2015.
However, I underestimated how much this election would turn into a two-party election (both the liberals and conservatives had higher popular vote than I expected). And overestimated the liberal vote efficiency being able to translate that into seats.