Vershinin has had consistently good analysis throughout the war I find. A few of his other articles are a great read as well. If people listened to this sort of sober analysis from the start, so many lives could've been saved and a needless war could've been avoided.

• https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/whats-ahead-war-ukraine
• https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/attritional-art-war-lessons-russian-war-ukraine
• https://www.rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/return-industrial-warfare
• https://www.russiamatters.org/analysis/battlefield-conditions-impacting-ukraine-peace-negotiations