The devs I know use it as a tool and check their work and fully understand the code they've produced.

So your experience vs. mine. I suspect you just work with shitty developers who would be producing shitty work whether they were using AI or not.

I literally don't write code anymore, I write detailed specs, invest a lot of time into my guardrails and integrations, and review changes from my agents. My code quality has not fallen, in fact we've been able to be much more strict about our style guidelines.

My job has changed completely, but the results are the same - simply much, much faster. And to be clear, this is in code bases that are hundreds of thousands of lines deep, across multiple massive monorepos, and using context from several different documentation sites - both internal and external.

If anything, people are understating the effects this will have over the next year, let alone further. The entry-level IC dev is dead. If you aren't producing at least twice as fast as you used to, you're going to be left behind. I cannot possibly suggest strongly enough that you start learning how to use it.