this post was submitted on 07 Jul 2025
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Mildly Infuriating

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[–] mic_check_one_two@lemmy.dbzer0.com -2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

Driving is orders of magnitude more likely to kill you at any second you're in a car, than flying is at any second you're in a plane.

This is an oft-repeated factoid that comes straight from the airlines bending statistics to meet their desires. It’s true that on a per mile basis, planes are safer. But on a per trip basis, cars actually win on safety.

And this makes some sense once you actually think about it. A car ride is typically going to be a frequent, short distance; An average of like 90% of all driving happens within 5 miles of the person’s home. Whereas air trips are infrequent and cover huge distances. So the accident-per-trip stat is watered down with cars having lots of trips, but the short distances tend to inflate the accident-per-mile number. In contrast, the accident-per-mile stat is watered down with planes covering a lot of miles per trip, but the infrequent nature of the trips means the accident-per-trip number is inflated.

And airlines conveniently only ever quote the accident-per-mile number when comparing safety statistics, because they have a vested interest in making airplanes seem statistically safer. If anything, seeing this factoid repeated is just a reminder that even math can be intentionally biased to fit a certain agenda.

[–] threeganzi@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 year ago

Per trip is a completely useless metric as you say, that’s the reason.

[–] LeninsOvaries@lemmy.cafe 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

So the point you're making is that going far away is dangerous? No shit.

[–] mic_check_one_two@lemmy.dbzer0.com -1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

My point is that the “planes are safer” stat is, at best, disingenuous. Any single trip is going to be more dangerous in a plane. But people tend to fly less than they drive, so cars are cited as being more dangerous.

[–] LeninsOvaries@lemmy.cafe 1 points 1 year ago

Any single trip is going to be more dangerous in a plane

So you're saying driving from London to Shanghai is safer than flying there?