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this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2026
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Gerrymandering can push the needle but it can't hold back the tide. It can actually backfire if the projections that the gerrymanderers were working with turn out to be inaccurate, since it's specifically "betting" on a particular arrangement of votes.
It's also not happening yet. The party voted for it and is now trying to gerrymander for sure, but the courts do not favour the UCP on this matter saying if challenged it'd be likely the UCP loses marking it unconstitutional. Especially with the separatist PsyOP going on I don't get the impression the currently employed judges like UCP very much given their comments lately.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/electoral-boundary-commission-dallas-miller-9.7143937