Agreed... I've been dabbling in "smart" algorithms for 50 years, the recent (last 8-10 years) progress has been dramatically faster than the previous 40, but each new amazing field: voice transcription, language translation, computer vision object recognition, games mastery, have all rather obviously hit sigmoid-like plateaus. LLM agent software writing has been a slow-burn improvement over the past 18 months - from my perspective it seems like it's still improving, though that also seems to be a combination of the models getting better, their built in instructions getting better, my local "memory" getting better, and me learning what to challenge it with and what's unrealistic. A big sign for me is: something I challenged it with 12-14 months ago and got basically nowhere, I tried again last month and it's made solid progress, delivering a lot of features it couldn't last year - and those are a lot of features I "gave up on" 5-6 years ago, not because they were impossible, but because they were just too much annoying, time consuming work for the value they deliver to me (personally) - and now the barrier to entry for making those things happen in software is dramatically lower.