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UK Politics
General Discussion for politics in the UK.
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They are using synthetic counter factuals. There is no control. There is no precedent to leaving the EU.
There is no guarantee that the UK would have not still had major disruption from a narrow remain vote
0.29% of UK companies stopped exporting to the EU. Big deal.
I have zero idea where you get these numbers from.
https://www.lse.ac.uk/news/latest-news-from-lse/l-december-2024/brexit-reduced-goods-exports-by-27bn
https://www.cityam.com/brexit-onslaught-deepens-as-a-third-of-all-uk-firms-exporting-to-eu-simply-vanish-due-to-red-tape-knockout/
Somewhere between 15%-30% of all exporters to the EU stopped after Brexit.
But this is a waste of your time - I can sense that data isn’t really going to convince.
At least you can enjoy those bendy bananas.
There are something like 5m UK businesses. A tiny fraction of them actually exported to the EU. And 15-30% of that sub fraction stopped exporting.
Meanwhile UK services exports has increased by over 75% since 2016
We just swapped high carbon polluting goods trade for high margin low carbon services
Just in time for carbon border taxes.
Net win.