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this post was submitted on 07 Oct 2026
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politics
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I don't think so. It's not as if longstanding, bipartisan US policy isn't antagonistic towards Iran for its own reasons. I do think Bibi helped coax Trump into actually bombing Iran by giving him a rosy assessment, but even Trump won't fall for that twice.
I hope you are right, ofcourse. But things are getting so unpredictable and illogical that I really don't know what to expect.
I hear ya. What actually worries me is if Europe decides to involve itself militarily. I think the chance is slim, but that's the only way I could see any attempted invasion of Iran. They are in a very tight spot with energy, and they seem to be 100% against negotiating with Russia, while also 100% unable (or unwilling) to influence Trump regarding Iran. Hard to imagine they could dedicate any military resources towards Iran though, considering what they already send to Ukraine, or want to deter Russia with. Still, as winter comes and fuel costs rise, something will have to give.
I think we are safe there, as they will need at least 20 years to decide on that.