51
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2026
51 points (98.1% liked)
Technology
88766 readers
2374 users here now
This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
Our Rules
- Follow the lemmy.world rules.
- Only tech related news or articles.
- Be excellent to each other!
- Mod approved content bots can post up to 10 articles per day.
- Threads asking for personal tech support may be deleted.
- Politics threads may be removed.
- No memes allowed as posts, OK to post as comments.
- Only approved bots from the list below, this includes using AI responses and summaries. To ask if your bot can be added please contact a mod.
- Check for duplicates before posting, duplicates may be removed
- Accounts 7 days and younger will have their posts automatically removed.
Approved Bots
founded 3 years ago
MODERATORS
It doesn't look like the article as a whole is downloadable without an account, but from what is accessible:
I think that it's reasonably likely that by 2100, we will have at least two other potential candidates (if we aren't there already):
In all cases other than nuclear conflict, I think that rapid replication that spirals out of control is the common factor that could render a risk existential.
I also do not think that the most-likely existential risk from AI comes from intentional, malicious use—the article is specifically identifying malicious use—but from an error coupled with a system that can expand massively and spin out of control. Something more like the paperclip maximizer scenario.
Don't forget the environment. Statistics have been massively wonky for a few years now with massive derailing happening this year (eg https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=world2). At the rate we're going it is more likely to be surprising we'll not have some events with massive death tolls until 2100.
But yeah, AI might cause suffering but won't be any sci-fi doomsday scenario without some human driving it (point being less an AI issue but more on the political/regulation side. Anything else just beintlg the medium to oppress with power).
It was intentional not to include it. I don't think that global warming likely poses an existential threat. It may impose high costs on humanity, greater than the benefit of burning fossil fuels, and thus be something that we want to avoid, but I don't think that we'd likely put ourselves in a scenario where humanity doesn't survive.
Existential threats are specifically those that end humanity's existence.
I think it depends on the detail definition, then.
Nevertheless I think you'd be severely underestimating the impact, but I still absolutely hope you're right.