Interesting why would they leave if they don't consider Wagner that much of a threat 🤔 Also what happens if Wagner actually manage to get into Moscow and their "enemies" are not there? Would they seize the media to broadcast for people to join them? What else can they even do in this scenario? Not sure what the game plan is here.

[–] HobbitFoot@thelemmy.club 9 points 1 year ago

Putin has to say that Wagner isn't that much of a threat to keep people calm and following his orders.

I would imagine that Prigozhin would do the same thing that any other person attempting a coup would do, seize control of government buildings and other important facilities and attempt to convince the public that he is in charge.

[–] SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca 4 points 1 year ago

The best answer anyone can give to those questions are "I don't know". Anything else is a guess.

My guess is, if Wagner takes Moscow and Putin's not there, Putin is done. Gorbachev wasn't in Moscow when the last coup happened. But once a leader has lost control to this degree, it's hard for anyone to respect them as a leader again.

[–] Anarch157a@lemmy.world 0 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

If Wagner takes Moscow, it's game over for Putler, His only option would be to split the country with him as the leader of the break away region.

Now, the million dollar question, what happens with the nukes? The long range balistic missiles would probably fall into Prigozhin's hands, but what happens with the ones in Belarus? Which side will Lukashenko support? Will he let Putin use this tactical weapons against Wagner troops or hand them over to Prigozhin?

So many unknowns right now.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.ca 5 points 1 year ago

Taking a physical city doesn't really do much. You have to take over the political structure, which can move around. Short of taking the whole country I don't see how this will work.