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[-] Telorand@reddthat.com 2 points 2 years ago

I'm gonna need citations for those claims. Which battleground states has he lost or is losing?

[-] kava@lemmy.world 1 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

he hasn't lost any states yet because we're not in the general election, lol. we're talking about polls. which of course aren't 100% but 2020 and 2016 Trump was losing in polls... it's the first time Trump is actually dominating. It's not looking good.

Trump has virtually closed Biden's lead in Hispanics. Back in 2016 only 26% of Hispanics voted for him, now it's 50/50

general election polls: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

biden popularity: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

38.7%

trump popularity: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/

43.8%

NY Times poll from yesterday- here's a non-paywall link: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/02/us/politics/biden-trump-times-siena-poll.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Z00.xuGU.XZDjmfpyqUKw&smid=url-share

Trump @ 48% Biden @ 43%

other stats too like enthusiasm per voter (trump voters are much more enthusiastic)

97% of voters for Trump in 2020 are voting for him today. For Biden that's only 83%. 10% of Biden voters are now voting for Trump

here's the 6 battleground states: https://i.imgur.com/GC81Kqo.png

i can't unpaywall that article but i screenshotted it and posted on imgur. Biden won all 6 last time. He's only ahead in 1 now.

this post was submitted on 03 Mar 2024
61 points (67.8% liked)

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