this post was submitted on 26 May 2024
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[–] Leate_Wonceslace@lemmy.dbzer0.com 13 points 4 months ago (2 children)

The last couple of elections have shown the polls to be unreliable with a distinct bias favoring Republicans in appearance. Last I heard the popular theory was boomers are more likely to answer random calls and have time for a bunch of questions.

[–] SulaymanF@lemmy.world 5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

No. The polls do swing about 4% but it’s in a random direction in every election no matter what.

Almost no polls use landline random digit dialing exclusively anymore. Some call cell phones, some do online surveys or in person surveys, and some do focus groups.

Almost no polls use landline [...] Some call cell phones

Yes; that's entirely consistent with what I said. I wasn't even considering that some polls might be calling landlines when I made my comment.

[–] FiniteBanjo@lemmy.today 4 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Okay but the Trump "victory" of 2016 was shocking to most analysts.

[–] Leate_Wonceslace@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

I'm talking about data within the past 4 years. 2016 was 8 years ago.

[–] FiniteBanjo@lemmy.today -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Right so the last 3 elections but not the election 4 ago specifically, okay.

[–] Leate_Wonceslace@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 months ago (1 children)
  1. The last 2 elections. If you're going to criticize me at least take the time to double-check your math.
[–] FiniteBanjo@lemmy.today -1 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Not even going to include midterm elections for Congress?

[–] Leate_Wonceslace@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Including the midterm election is how I got a grand total of 2.

1 presidential 4 years ago.

1 midterm 2 years ago.

1+1=2.

2 elections.

Get it yet?

Please consider taking the time to think instead of immediately jumping to a knee-jerk response.

[–] FiniteBanjo@lemmy.today 4 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Ah you right, you said 4 years but I kept going with the 8 years line of thinking.

It's late for me, so I get it. Sorry for the condescending tone I took at the end.