this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2024
920 points (91.6% liked)
Political Memes
5516 readers
739 users here now
Welcome to politcal memes!
These are our rules:
Be civil
Jokes are okay, but don’t intentionally harass or disturb any member of our community. Sexism, racism and bigotry are not allowed. Good faith argumentation only. No posts discouraging people to vote or shaming people for voting.
No misinformation
Don’t post any intentional misinformation. When asked by mods, provide sources for any claims you make.
Posts should be memes
Random pictures do not qualify as memes. Relevance to politics is required.
No bots, spam or self-promotion
Follow instance rules, ask for your bot to be allowed on this community.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
Right but now compare that to 2020 disparity between candidates while keeping in mind Biden only won by 40,000 votes in 3 battleground states.
Doesn't seem too far off. Maybe about 5-6% worse than july 2020.
And additionally 10 points down nationally from where Biden was in h2h polling when comparing 538 polling aggregates.
Whats worse between 2020 and 2024 is that Biden has had 3.5 years to prove himself, give the Americans a chance, and he still had terrible approval ratings. These numbers are likely baked in because the electorate is very familiar with both candidates.
Aren't the 10% pretty moot, since it's a two party system?
Wait two weeks and we can talk again, because we're now at the time frame the trend for the final run will be set.
BTW, I have tagged you as "Both Sides Don't vote" for a while now.
I think it matters because Democrats must outperform Republicans nationally in popular vote in order to have any chance at an Electoral College victory. On the eve of 2020 election, Biden was up 8% over Trump, won by 7 million votes, and yet ultimately only won by 40,000 critical votes in 3 battleground states largely decided by low-info swing voters who once voted for Obama, then Trump, and then Biden again. Thus, if he's now down 3-6 points and not up 8 pts, that portends a sweeping Electoral defeat.
I guess we shall see for better or worse.
And honestly, what does that tag mean? I've never promoted BotH sIDeS and I've never advocated for anyone to not vote or vote 3rd party. Cite me otherwise. Good luck. Because I think you may be missing the nuance and forging a strawman out of my position.