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submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by jay@beehaw.org to c/programming@programming.dev

Before starting tasks, developers forecast that allowing AI will reduce completion time by 24%. After completing the study, developers estimate that allowing AI reduced completion time by 20%. Surprisingly, we find that allowing AI actually increases completion time by 19%

N = 16

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[-] mspencer712@programming.dev 23 points 1 year ago
[-] Feyd@programming.dev 24 points 1 year ago

You’re acting like this is a gotcha when it’s actually probably the most rigorous study of AI tool productivity change to date.

[-] FizzyOrange@programming.dev 2 points 1 year ago

It definitely is... But it's possible to be the most rigorous study and also not really prove anything. Proving this sort of stuff is ridiculously hard and expensive. We don't have proofs for even the most obvious things in programming, like that comments and good variable naming help comprehension. Sometimes studies even find the opposite.

[-] jay@beehaw.org 3 points 1 year ago

Haha yes, I should have made that clear, thanks

[-] Gustephan@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago

Study (N=16) finds absolutely nothing because their sample size is too small to meaningfully substantiate any conclusion.

[-] Kissaki@programming.dev 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)
[-] jay@beehaw.org 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

~~Oh, thanks! I thought Lemmy would warn me if I tried to submit a duplicate URL.~~

Oh nevermind, that one looks like it was posted after mine. (It has a higher ID, too.)

[-] Kissaki@programming.dev 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It's not a duplicate URL. You posted an image, they posted a link to the study.

I mainly wanted to give the additional context and discussion, more so than say "has already posted".

I assume I must have compared a modified date or sth, dunno. Misled by it being shown further down in my feed.

this post was submitted on 11 Jul 2025
55 points (95.1% liked)

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