Sepia

joined 8 months ago
[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 15 minutes ago

According to data from the Chinese government, even U.S. imports from China are on the rise ...

This is not true.

U.S. imports from China in the first five months 2026 are around a third lower than in the comparable 2025-period, according to the U.S. census data (you can safely forget trade data published by the Chinese government, especially since Beijing introduced a very weird methodology to calculate its export/import data during the pandemic).

U.S. imports from China in 2025 were around a third lower than in 2024.

Of course, any perceived inflation benefit of importing must be offset by the fact that domestic producers are potentially being undercut, making their businesses less prosperous.

Unfortunately, Goldman Sachs, which was one of the first Western banks to open a Chinese branch in China more than 30 years ago with strong ties to the ruling party, does not elaborate here.

The 'perceived inflation benefit' (is the inflation now perceived or real?) comes at a lower GDP, lower level of employment, and, therefore, a lower disposable income for other markets (such as Europe); not to forget that it makes countries vulnerable for Chinese political and economic coercion as we have increasingly seen in recent years.

It is particularly noteworthy that the alleged inflation is being paid to a large extent by people in China and China-controlled supply chains who work under forced labour schemes.

These are major points in my opinion which Goldman Sachs has forgotten to mention.

“Although the main driver of our relatively benign inflation outlook is that domestic supply and demand broadly appear in balance, ...

I don't understand that. Domestic supply and demand isn't in balance in China, that's for sure. Maybe someone can enlighten me.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 2 points 15 minutes ago

According to data from the Chinese government, even U.S. imports from China are on the rise ...

This is not true.

U.S. imports from China in the first five months 2026 are around a third lower than in the comparable 2025-period, according to the U.S. census data (you can safely forget trade data published by the Chinese government, especially since Beijing introduced a very weird methodology to calculate its export/import data during the pandemic).

U.S. imports from China in 2025 were around a third lower than in 2024.

Of course, any perceived inflation benefit of importing must be offset by the fact that domestic producers are potentially being undercut, making their businesses less prosperous.

Unfortunately, Goldman Sachs, which was one of the first Western banks to open a Chinese branch in China more than 30 years ago with strong ties to the ruling party, does not elaborate here.

The 'perceived inflation benefit' (is the inflation now perceived or real?) comes at a lower GDP, lower level of employment, and, therefore, a lower disposable income for other markets (such as Europe); not to forget that it makes countries vulnerable for Chinese political and economic coercion as we have increasingly seen in recent years.

It is particularly noteworthy that the alleged inflation is being paid to a large extent by people in China and China-controlled supply chains who work under forced labour schemes.

These are major points in my opinion which Goldman Sachs has forgotten to mention.

“Although the main driver of our relatively benign inflation outlook is that domestic supply and demand broadly appear in balance, ...

I don't understand that. Domestic supply and demand isn't in balance in China, that's for sure. Maybe someone can enlighten me.

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55903583

Beijing accused of having Taiwanese representatives barred from maritime conference in Kenya.

...

China has refused to sign an agreement meant to improve efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Beijing commands the world’s largest distant-water fishing fleet and is the world’s worst illegal fishing offender, according to the IUU Fishing Risk Index.

Seven African countries­ — Cameroon, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, the Republic of the Congo and Somalia — signed the Mombasa Declaration during the 11th Our Ocean Conference in Kenya in June. Belgium, Chile, the Dominican Republic, France, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Peru and South Korea also signed.

The agreement supports the Global Charter for Fisheries Transparency, which aims to improve governance by modernizing digital vessel registries, publishing fishing licenses, authorizations, access agreements and quota allocations. It is also meant to ensure that all industrial fishing vessels have unique vessel identifiers and collect information on the beneficial owners of vessels and fishing companies to target and hold accountable illegal fishing violators.

“In my country, our very existence depends on fish,” Emelia Arthur, Ghana’s fisheries minister, said in a report by The Associated Press (AP). “Over 60% of our animal protein comes from fish, and 10% of our population depends on the fisheries value chain for livelihood.”

...

The conference was marred by claims that Taiwanese representatives were not allowed to attend due to Chinese pressure on Kenya. Although Taiwan is self-ruled, Beijing claims it as its own territory. China prohibits its diplomatic partners from maintaining formal ties with Taiwan and holds considerable leverage over Kenya, particularly regarding debt related to the Chinese-built Standard Gauge Railway.

Kenya spends more than $1 billion per year to service its railway debt to China. Kenya’s largest external debt holder is China Exim Bank, to which it owes $741 million in principal, $222 million in interest and $41 million in penalties for the 2025-2026 budget year, Kenyan Auditor-General Nancy Gathungu revealed in a 2025 report.

Chinese vessels have operated illegally in African waters for decades. Due mainly to illegal Chinese overfishing, West Africa, alone, loses up to an estimated $9.4 billion to illegal fishing annually and is considered the world’s hot spot for IUU fishing. Between 2015 and 2021, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa and Tanzania lost up to $142.8 million annually due to illegal shrimp and tuna fishing, according to the World Wildlife Fund.

Chinese vessels commit myriad fishing violations, including bottom trawling, which involves dragging a net along the sea floor, indiscriminately scooping up all manner of marine life. This kills juvenile fish, leading to declining fish stocks and destroys ecosystems.

...

The countries that signed the declaration are expected to begin implementing their commitments immediately and more governments are expected to sign the agreement, according to the AP. Catherine Chabaud, French minister delegate for the sea and fisheries, said international cooperation is essential in the fight against illegal fishing.

“Limited transparency in vessel ownership, tracking, and fishing activity and supply chains allow these illegal practices to thrive, making stronger access to reliable fisheries data and accountability mechanisms essential to protecting marine ecosystems and the communities that depend on them,” Chabaud said in an AP report.

...

Environmental groups lauded the effort. Tony Long, chief executive officer of Global Fishing Watch, said illegal fishing has continued due to weak oversight.

“For too long, illegal fishing has thrived in the dark,” Long said in a report by Namibian news outlet New Era Live. “When governments commit to transparency, they create an interconnected network where bad actors have nowhere left to hide.”

...

[Web Archived link]https://web.archive.org/web/20260729113405/https://adf-magazine.com/2026/07/china-refuses-to-sign-agreement-to-combat-illegal-fishing/()

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55903583

Beijing accused of having Taiwanese representatives barred from maritime conference in Kenya.

...

China has refused to sign an agreement meant to improve efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Beijing commands the world’s largest distant-water fishing fleet and is the world’s worst illegal fishing offender, according to the IUU Fishing Risk Index.

Seven African countries­ — Cameroon, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, the Republic of the Congo and Somalia — signed the Mombasa Declaration during the 11th Our Ocean Conference in Kenya in June. Belgium, Chile, the Dominican Republic, France, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Peru and South Korea also signed.

The agreement supports the Global Charter for Fisheries Transparency, which aims to improve governance by modernizing digital vessel registries, publishing fishing licenses, authorizations, access agreements and quota allocations. It is also meant to ensure that all industrial fishing vessels have unique vessel identifiers and collect information on the beneficial owners of vessels and fishing companies to target and hold accountable illegal fishing violators.

“In my country, our very existence depends on fish,” Emelia Arthur, Ghana’s fisheries minister, said in a report by The Associated Press (AP). “Over 60% of our animal protein comes from fish, and 10% of our population depends on the fisheries value chain for livelihood.”

...

The conference was marred by claims that Taiwanese representatives were not allowed to attend due to Chinese pressure on Kenya. Although Taiwan is self-ruled, Beijing claims it as its own territory. China prohibits its diplomatic partners from maintaining formal ties with Taiwan and holds considerable leverage over Kenya, particularly regarding debt related to the Chinese-built Standard Gauge Railway.

Kenya spends more than $1 billion per year to service its railway debt to China. Kenya’s largest external debt holder is China Exim Bank, to which it owes $741 million in principal, $222 million in interest and $41 million in penalties for the 2025-2026 budget year, Kenyan Auditor-General Nancy Gathungu revealed in a 2025 report.

Chinese vessels have operated illegally in African waters for decades. Due mainly to illegal Chinese overfishing, West Africa, alone, loses up to an estimated $9.4 billion to illegal fishing annually and is considered the world’s hot spot for IUU fishing. Between 2015 and 2021, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa and Tanzania lost up to $142.8 million annually due to illegal shrimp and tuna fishing, according to the World Wildlife Fund.

Chinese vessels commit myriad fishing violations, including bottom trawling, which involves dragging a net along the sea floor, indiscriminately scooping up all manner of marine life. This kills juvenile fish, leading to declining fish stocks and destroys ecosystems.

...

The countries that signed the declaration are expected to begin implementing their commitments immediately and more governments are expected to sign the agreement, according to the AP. Catherine Chabaud, French minister delegate for the sea and fisheries, said international cooperation is essential in the fight against illegal fishing.

“Limited transparency in vessel ownership, tracking, and fishing activity and supply chains allow these illegal practices to thrive, making stronger access to reliable fisheries data and accountability mechanisms essential to protecting marine ecosystems and the communities that depend on them,” Chabaud said in an AP report.

...

Environmental groups lauded the effort. Tony Long, chief executive officer of Global Fishing Watch, said illegal fishing has continued due to weak oversight.

“For too long, illegal fishing has thrived in the dark,” Long said in a report by Namibian news outlet New Era Live. “When governments commit to transparency, they create an interconnected network where bad actors have nowhere left to hide.”

...

[Web Archived link]https://web.archive.org/web/20260729113405/https://adf-magazine.com/2026/07/china-refuses-to-sign-agreement-to-combat-illegal-fishing/()

 

Beijing accused of having Taiwanese representatives barred from maritime conference in Kenya.

...

China has refused to sign an agreement meant to improve efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing. Beijing commands the world’s largest distant-water fishing fleet and is the world’s worst illegal fishing offender, according to the IUU Fishing Risk Index.

Seven African countries­ — Cameroon, the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, the Republic of the Congo and Somalia — signed the Mombasa Declaration during the 11th Our Ocean Conference in Kenya in June. Belgium, Chile, the Dominican Republic, France, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Peru and South Korea also signed.

The agreement supports the Global Charter for Fisheries Transparency, which aims to improve governance by modernizing digital vessel registries, publishing fishing licenses, authorizations, access agreements and quota allocations. It is also meant to ensure that all industrial fishing vessels have unique vessel identifiers and collect information on the beneficial owners of vessels and fishing companies to target and hold accountable illegal fishing violators.

“In my country, our very existence depends on fish,” Emelia Arthur, Ghana’s fisheries minister, said in a report by The Associated Press (AP). “Over 60% of our animal protein comes from fish, and 10% of our population depends on the fisheries value chain for livelihood.”

...

The conference was marred by claims that Taiwanese representatives were not allowed to attend due to Chinese pressure on Kenya. Although Taiwan is self-ruled, Beijing claims it as its own territory. China prohibits its diplomatic partners from maintaining formal ties with Taiwan and holds considerable leverage over Kenya, particularly regarding debt related to the Chinese-built Standard Gauge Railway.

Kenya spends more than $1 billion per year to service its railway debt to China. Kenya’s largest external debt holder is China Exim Bank, to which it owes $741 million in principal, $222 million in interest and $41 million in penalties for the 2025-2026 budget year, Kenyan Auditor-General Nancy Gathungu revealed in a 2025 report.

Chinese vessels have operated illegally in African waters for decades. Due mainly to illegal Chinese overfishing, West Africa, alone, loses up to an estimated $9.4 billion to illegal fishing annually and is considered the world’s hot spot for IUU fishing. Between 2015 and 2021, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Africa and Tanzania lost up to $142.8 million annually due to illegal shrimp and tuna fishing, according to the World Wildlife Fund.

Chinese vessels commit myriad fishing violations, including bottom trawling, which involves dragging a net along the sea floor, indiscriminately scooping up all manner of marine life. This kills juvenile fish, leading to declining fish stocks and destroys ecosystems.

...

The countries that signed the declaration are expected to begin implementing their commitments immediately and more governments are expected to sign the agreement, according to the AP. Catherine Chabaud, French minister delegate for the sea and fisheries, said international cooperation is essential in the fight against illegal fishing.

“Limited transparency in vessel ownership, tracking, and fishing activity and supply chains allow these illegal practices to thrive, making stronger access to reliable fisheries data and accountability mechanisms essential to protecting marine ecosystems and the communities that depend on them,” Chabaud said in an AP report.

...

Environmental groups lauded the effort. Tony Long, chief executive officer of Global Fishing Watch, said illegal fishing has continued due to weak oversight.

“For too long, illegal fishing has thrived in the dark,” Long said in a report by Namibian news outlet New Era Live. “When governments commit to transparency, they create an interconnected network where bad actors have nowhere left to hide.”

...

[Web Archived link]https://web.archive.org/web/20260729113405/https://adf-magazine.com/2026/07/china-refuses-to-sign-agreement-to-combat-illegal-fishing/()

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55897574

The latest Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map has found that Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific.

The federal government provided around 37 per cent of all development spending in the Pacific in 2024.

The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank are still major lenders in the region, contributing 11 per cent and 10 per cent of total overall development spending respectively.

,,,

Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific as the government ploughs billions of dollars into the region through both foreign aid and loans.

The latest version of the Lowy Institute's Pacific Aid Map also shows that Australia has also maintained its position as by far the largest aid donor in the region, with the federal government providing around 37 per cent of all development spending across the Pacific in 2024.

That puts Australia well ahead of the other countries, with New Zealand sitting at 11 per cent, the US at 8 per cent, China at 6 per cent and Japan at 3 per cent.

The map's lead author, Riley Duke, said the latest data showed a "striking" shift, with China's lending to the region continuing to fall away.

"Historically this has been an area very much dominated by China. Beijing has built a lot of relationships and influence through these big loan finance infrastructure deals," he said.

"So, it's significant that Australia seems to have crowded out China in this space."

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55897574

The latest Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map has found that Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific.

The federal government provided around 37 per cent of all development spending in the Pacific in 2024.

The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank are still major lenders in the region, contributing 11 per cent and 10 per cent of total overall development spending respectively.

,,,

Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific as the government ploughs billions of dollars into the region through both foreign aid and loans.

The latest version of the Lowy Institute's Pacific Aid Map also shows that Australia has also maintained its position as by far the largest aid donor in the region, with the federal government providing around 37 per cent of all development spending across the Pacific in 2024.

That puts Australia well ahead of the other countries, with New Zealand sitting at 11 per cent, the US at 8 per cent, China at 6 per cent and Japan at 3 per cent.

The map's lead author, Riley Duke, said the latest data showed a "striking" shift, with China's lending to the region continuing to fall away.

"Historically this has been an area very much dominated by China. Beijing has built a lot of relationships and influence through these big loan finance infrastructure deals," he said.

"So, it's significant that Australia seems to have crowded out China in this space."

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55897574

The latest Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map has found that Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific.

The federal government provided around 37 per cent of all development spending in the Pacific in 2024.

The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank are still major lenders in the region, contributing 11 per cent and 10 per cent of total overall development spending respectively.

,,,

Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific as the government ploughs billions of dollars into the region through both foreign aid and loans.

The latest version of the Lowy Institute's Pacific Aid Map also shows that Australia has also maintained its position as by far the largest aid donor in the region, with the federal government providing around 37 per cent of all development spending across the Pacific in 2024.

That puts Australia well ahead of the other countries, with New Zealand sitting at 11 per cent, the US at 8 per cent, China at 6 per cent and Japan at 3 per cent.

The map's lead author, Riley Duke, said the latest data showed a "striking" shift, with China's lending to the region continuing to fall away.

"Historically this has been an area very much dominated by China. Beijing has built a lot of relationships and influence through these big loan finance infrastructure deals," he said.

"So, it's significant that Australia seems to have crowded out China in this space."

...

Web Archive link

 

The latest Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map has found that Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific.

The federal government provided around 37 per cent of all development spending in the Pacific in 2024.

The Asian Development Bank and the World Bank are still major lenders in the region, contributing 11 per cent and 10 per cent of total overall development spending respectively.

,,,

Australia has supplanted China as the dominant lender and infrastructure investor across the Pacific as the government ploughs billions of dollars into the region through both foreign aid and loans.

The latest version of the Lowy Institute's Pacific Aid Map also shows that Australia has also maintained its position as by far the largest aid donor in the region, with the federal government providing around 37 per cent of all development spending across the Pacific in 2024.

That puts Australia well ahead of the other countries, with New Zealand sitting at 11 per cent, the US at 8 per cent, China at 6 per cent and Japan at 3 per cent.

The map's lead author, Riley Duke, said the latest data showed a "striking" shift, with China's lending to the region continuing to fall away.

"Historically this has been an area very much dominated by China. Beijing has built a lot of relationships and influence through these big loan finance infrastructure deals," he said.

"So, it's significant that Australia seems to have crowded out China in this space."

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55889087

Human rights and environmental harms linked to Chinese companies’ overseas investments in minerals critical to the energy transition are increasing year on year, according to new research published today. The Business and Human Rights Centre documented 326 allegations of abuse between 2023 and 2025, bringing the total recorded since 2021 to 434 allegations across transition mineral projects linked to Chinese companies.

The global spread of Chinese investment in transition mineral mining projects was clearly reflected in the data, with Indonesia recording the highest number of allegations (96), followed by the Democratic Republic of Congo (52), Myanmar (36), Serbia (32) and Zimbabwe (20). The report highlights how the rapid expansion of investment in minerals essential for electric vehicles, batteries and renewable energy technologies are intensifying risks for workers, Indigenous Peoples, local communities and the environment. This, combined with an increasingly fraught environment for those being silenced for speaking out against companies, paints a concerning picture in transition mineral supply chains associated with Chinese companies.

...

The findings show that ten Chinese companies accounted for nearly two thirds (65%) of all allegations recorded between 2021 and 2025. It also found:

  • Allegations affected local communities (179), the environment (169) and workers (143), with concerns relating to impacts on livelihoods, health, land rights, occupational health and safety, wages, work-related deaths, water pollution and environmental contamination.
  • Between 2023 and 2025, 18 people were attacked for raising concerns about Chinese transition mineral projects, highlighting a growing risk for those speaking out against mining-related harms.
  • Extraction remained the highest-risk stage of the supply chain (213 allegations), accounting for two thirds of all recorded allegations between 2023 and 2025 – with significant impacts of water and soil pollution on livelihood and health.
  • Meanwhile, occupational health and safety risks were particularly acute in processing, smelting and refining operations, and threats to local communities, as well as Indigenous Peoples, emerged as a significant concern in the project development phase.
  • Nickel (91 allegations) overtook copper (72 allegations) as the mineral linked to the greatest number of allegations, driven largely by the rapid expansion of Indonesia's nickel industry and its importance for electric vehicle batteries.
  • Substantial increases in allegations were also linked to lithium (39 allegations) – largely associated with impacts on Indigenous Peoples and local communities, alongside severe pressures on water resources in surrounding areas.

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55889087

Human rights and environmental harms linked to Chinese companies’ overseas investments in minerals critical to the energy transition are increasing year on year, according to new research published today. The Business and Human Rights Centre documented 326 allegations of abuse between 2023 and 2025, bringing the total recorded since 2021 to 434 allegations across transition mineral projects linked to Chinese companies.

The global spread of Chinese investment in transition mineral mining projects was clearly reflected in the data, with Indonesia recording the highest number of allegations (96), followed by the Democratic Republic of Congo (52), Myanmar (36), Serbia (32) and Zimbabwe (20). The report highlights how the rapid expansion of investment in minerals essential for electric vehicles, batteries and renewable energy technologies are intensifying risks for workers, Indigenous Peoples, local communities and the environment. This, combined with an increasingly fraught environment for those being silenced for speaking out against companies, paints a concerning picture in transition mineral supply chains associated with Chinese companies.

...

The findings show that ten Chinese companies accounted for nearly two thirds (65%) of all allegations recorded between 2021 and 2025. It also found:

  • Allegations affected local communities (179), the environment (169) and workers (143), with concerns relating to impacts on livelihoods, health, land rights, occupational health and safety, wages, work-related deaths, water pollution and environmental contamination.
  • Between 2023 and 2025, 18 people were attacked for raising concerns about Chinese transition mineral projects, highlighting a growing risk for those speaking out against mining-related harms.
  • Extraction remained the highest-risk stage of the supply chain (213 allegations), accounting for two thirds of all recorded allegations between 2023 and 2025 – with significant impacts of water and soil pollution on livelihood and health.
  • Meanwhile, occupational health and safety risks were particularly acute in processing, smelting and refining operations, and threats to local communities, as well as Indigenous Peoples, emerged as a significant concern in the project development phase.
  • Nickel (91 allegations) overtook copper (72 allegations) as the mineral linked to the greatest number of allegations, driven largely by the rapid expansion of Indonesia's nickel industry and its importance for electric vehicle batteries.
  • Substantial increases in allegations were also linked to lithium (39 allegations) – largely associated with impacts on Indigenous Peoples and local communities, alongside severe pressures on water resources in surrounding areas.

...

Web Archive link

 

Human rights and environmental harms linked to Chinese companies’ overseas investments in minerals critical to the energy transition are increasing year on year, according to new research published today. The Business and Human Rights Centre documented 326 allegations of abuse between 2023 and 2025, bringing the total recorded since 2021 to 434 allegations across transition mineral projects linked to Chinese companies.

The global spread of Chinese investment in transition mineral mining projects was clearly reflected in the data, with Indonesia recording the highest number of allegations (96), followed by the Democratic Republic of Congo (52), Myanmar (36), Serbia (32) and Zimbabwe (20). The report highlights how the rapid expansion of investment in minerals essential for electric vehicles, batteries and renewable energy technologies are intensifying risks for workers, Indigenous Peoples, local communities and the environment. This, combined with an increasingly fraught environment for those being silenced for speaking out against companies, paints a concerning picture in transition mineral supply chains associated with Chinese companies.

...

The findings show that ten Chinese companies accounted for nearly two thirds (65%) of all allegations recorded between 2021 and 2025. It also found:

  • Allegations affected local communities (179), the environment (169) and workers (143), with concerns relating to impacts on livelihoods, health, land rights, occupational health and safety, wages, work-related deaths, water pollution and environmental contamination.
  • Between 2023 and 2025, 18 people were attacked for raising concerns about Chinese transition mineral projects, highlighting a growing risk for those speaking out against mining-related harms.
  • Extraction remained the highest-risk stage of the supply chain (213 allegations), accounting for two thirds of all recorded allegations between 2023 and 2025 – with significant impacts of water and soil pollution on livelihood and health.
  • Meanwhile, occupational health and safety risks were particularly acute in processing, smelting and refining operations, and threats to local communities, as well as Indigenous Peoples, emerged as a significant concern in the project development phase.
  • Nickel (91 allegations) overtook copper (72 allegations) as the mineral linked to the greatest number of allegations, driven largely by the rapid expansion of Indonesia's nickel industry and its importance for electric vehicle batteries.
  • Substantial increases in allegations were also linked to lithium (39 allegations) – largely associated with impacts on Indigenous Peoples and local communities, alongside severe pressures on water resources in surrounding areas.

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55885507

An investigation by Science and Retraction Watch has uncovered details about a clinical trial that resulted in the death of its sole patient: a 6-year-old girl with a rare genetic mutation affecting her cognitive development.

Her death has never been reported publicly, even though the medical team published its preclinical work in Nature earlier this year. Also omitted from the paper and trial records.

...

The family has asked the authors to withdraw the paper, and experts we spoke to raised issues they say may warrant a retraction.

...

The parents felt they were in good hands. Xinhua Hospital, which is affiliated with the Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, was acclaimed for its pediatrics department ... If all went well, the girl would be the first person in the world to receive a gene-editing therapy directed at the brain. It would rewrite the mutated gene in her neurons, restoring the needed DNA base so she could make a vital protein.

...

Leading the effort was Zilong Qiu, a neuroscientist at the university’s brain center, the Songjiang Research Institute. At the time, in late March 2025, Qiu was one of several researchers around the world vying to push base editors — a more precise form of the powerful gene editor CRISPR — into custom treatments for children with rare diseases.

...

Although news that base editing saved “Baby KJ” would soon rocket around the world — Science named the feat one of the runners-up for its 2025 Breakthrough of the Year — the story of what happened at Xinhua Hospital has remained hidden. An entry for the study posted to ClinicalTrials.gov has not been updated for more than a year. And when Qiu and his colleagues published proof-of-concept animal studies related to the trial in Nature early this year, they stripped the paper of references to the family and its financial contributions, noting only that “bridging the gap between preclinical research and clinical translation remains a significant challenge.”

That vague language glossed over tragedy: Seven days after the girl’s medical team infused trillions of viruses carrying the recipe for the base editor into her spinal fluid, she died of a severe immune reaction linked to the therapy, Science and Retraction Watch can now reveal.

...

According to official documents and accounts provided by the girl’s parents, the hospital had allowed Qiu’s experimental treatment to proceed under a regulatory provision that does not require approval from national regulators. The lax oversight of this recent trial and the failure to publicly report the fatality “shows the gap between what is intended and what has been put in place,” says Joy Zhang, a sociologist at the University of Kent who has written about the pervasive culture of secrecy in Chinese scientific institutions.

...

Seven experts in fields including genetics, virology, and bioethics who reviewed details of the Nature study and the clinical trial for Science and Retraction Watch expressed concern that Qiu and his team downplayed the trial’s risks in describing them to the parents, overlooked safety signals in animal studies, and proceeded even though success was unlikely. “This shouldn’t have gone to trial,” says Steven Gray of the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, who develops viruses for gene therapy.

...

Web Archive link

 

cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/55885507

An investigation by Science and Retraction Watch has uncovered details about a clinical trial that resulted in the death of its sole patient: a 6-year-old girl with a rare genetic mutation affecting her cognitive development.

Her death has never been reported publicly, even though the medical team published its preclinical work in Nature earlier this year. Also omitted from the paper and trial records.

...

The family has asked the authors to withdraw the paper, and experts we spoke to raised issues they say may warrant a retraction.

...

The parents felt they were in good hands. Xinhua Hospital, which is affiliated with the Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, was acclaimed for its pediatrics department ... If all went well, the girl would be the first person in the world to receive a gene-editing therapy directed at the brain. It would rewrite the mutated gene in her neurons, restoring the needed DNA base so she could make a vital protein.

...

Leading the effort was Zilong Qiu, a neuroscientist at the university’s brain center, the Songjiang Research Institute. At the time, in late March 2025, Qiu was one of several researchers around the world vying to push base editors — a more precise form of the powerful gene editor CRISPR — into custom treatments for children with rare diseases.

...

Although news that base editing saved “Baby KJ” would soon rocket around the world — Science named the feat one of the runners-up for its 2025 Breakthrough of the Year — the story of what happened at Xinhua Hospital has remained hidden. An entry for the study posted to ClinicalTrials.gov has not been updated for more than a year. And when Qiu and his colleagues published proof-of-concept animal studies related to the trial in Nature early this year, they stripped the paper of references to the family and its financial contributions, noting only that “bridging the gap between preclinical research and clinical translation remains a significant challenge.”

That vague language glossed over tragedy: Seven days after the girl’s medical team infused trillions of viruses carrying the recipe for the base editor into her spinal fluid, she died of a severe immune reaction linked to the therapy, Science and Retraction Watch can now reveal.

...

According to official documents and accounts provided by the girl’s parents, the hospital had allowed Qiu’s experimental treatment to proceed under a regulatory provision that does not require approval from national regulators. The lax oversight of this recent trial and the failure to publicly report the fatality “shows the gap between what is intended and what has been put in place,” says Joy Zhang, a sociologist at the University of Kent who has written about the pervasive culture of secrecy in Chinese scientific institutions.

...

Seven experts in fields including genetics, virology, and bioethics who reviewed details of the Nature study and the clinical trial for Science and Retraction Watch expressed concern that Qiu and his team downplayed the trial’s risks in describing them to the parents, overlooked safety signals in animal studies, and proceeded even though success was unlikely. “This shouldn’t have gone to trial,” says Steven Gray of the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, who develops viruses for gene therapy.

...

Web Archive link

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 5 days ago

The use of Yuan (and currencies other than USD) is still quite low as the article says.

Would betting on Yuan be a good idea for Thailand?

China would have an additional measure to pressure the government in Bangkok for whatever political or economic gains Beijing is aiming at, simply by devaluing (or appreciating) its currency.

This is important as the bilateral trade between the two countries tells a story well known from many others of China's trade partners: In 2025, Thailand’s exports to China reached almost USD 40 billion, while imports from China were significantly higher at USD 108 billion.

Thailand’s deficit with China in 2025 - USD 68 billion - represents an increase by 50% year-on-year and ranks among the steepest annual widenings of all of China's trade partners in the Asian region, second only to Malaysia’s 62% deficit increase and similar to Vietnam’s 40% jump.

Maybe more importantly, Thailand's trade deficit with China has grown every single year for the past five years.

The devastating consequence of China’s export surge is industrial contraction. Thailand’s Kasikorn Research Center estimates that 4,300 Thai factories closed in the two years to 2025, spanning automotive, electronics, garments, furntiture, steel. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a forecast of 1.6% and the World Bank anticipates approximately 1.7% - the lowest growth rate for Thailand outside of crisis mode like the pandemic or the 2008 turmoils.

If and when the Yuan gains ground in Thailand China-trade in a meaningful way, Bangkok risks its economy (and politics) to open up for more coercive tactics and exploitation by Beijing.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 5 days ago

The use of Yuan (and currencies other than USD) is still quite low as the article says.

Would betting on Yuan be a good idea for Thailand?

China would have an additional measure to pressure the government in Bangkok for whatever political or economic gains Beijing is aiming at, simply by devaluing (or appreciating) its currency.

This is important as the bilateral trade between the two countries tells a story well known from many others of China's trade partners: In 2025, Thailand’s exports to China reached almost USD 40 billion, while imports from China were significantly higher at USD 108 billion.

Thailand’s deficit with China in 2025 - USD 68 billion - represents an increase by 50% year-on-year and ranks among the steepest annual widenings of all of China's trade partners in the Asian region, second only to Malaysia’s 62% deficit increase and similar to Vietnam’s 40% jump.

Maybe more importantly, Thailand's trade deficit with China has grown every single year for the past five years.

The devastating consequence of China’s export surge is industrial contraction. Thailand’s Kasikorn Research Center estimates that 4,300 Thai factories closed in the two years to 2025, spanning automotive, electronics, garments, furntiture, steel. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a forecast of 1.6% and the World Bank anticipates approximately 1.7% - the lowest growth rate for Thailand outside of crisis mode like the pandemic or the 2008 turmoils.

If and when the Yuan gains ground in Thailand China-trade in a meaningful way, Bangkok risks its economy (and politics) to open up for more coercive tactics and exploitation by Beijing.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 5 days ago

As it has long been reported, Indonesia’s over-reliance on China is a warning for other Global South countries,

[A year ago, in June 2025], China imposed a 20% anti-dumping tariff on stainless steel from Indonesia ... The penalty will remain in place for five years. But the real story isn’t the tariff. It’s the reckoning behind it: Indonesia is losing control of its most prized asset. And it has only itself to blame ...

The country may sit on the world’s largest nickel reserves, but China holds the value—and the power. That imbalance didn’t happen by accident. It was the result of weak governance, poor planning, and a political system too eager to please investors rather than protect national interests ...

The recent tariff from Beijing underscores just how exposed Jakarta has become. “The anti-dumping duty will erode the competitiveness of Indonesian products due to shrinking profit margins,” said Sudirman Widhy Hartono, chair of the Indonesian Mining Experts Association (Perhapi) ...

Around a quarter of Indonesia's exports go to China (mainly commodities such as Nickel, mineral fuels, steel), and 36% of its imports come from China (machinery, electronic equipment, vehicles, plastics). Indonesia's trade volume with China is higher than with the entire ASEAN.

With more debt owed to China (the bond buyers are China-linked investors only), Indonesia's dependence on China is likely set to rise, the island country's industrial development about to slow down.

Why? The article linked in this comment says it clear, using the Nickel industry as an example as Indonesia has the world's largest nickel reserves:

This isn’t the end stage of Indonesia’s nickel policy. It’s the middle. For all the talk of “downstreaming,” most of what Indonesia produces—nickel pig iron (NPI), ferronickel, and stainless steel billets—are still intermediate products. “They’re not the final products of nickel downstreaming,” Sudirman noted. “The domestic downstream industry is still not developed. Nearly all NPI and stainless steel is still exported abroad.”

Why didn’t Indonesia develop those downstream industries? The answer, in part, is corruption.

From sweetheart land deals to opaque tax incentives, many of the major industrial projects were fast-tracked with little transparency and minimal safeguards. Environmental and labor regulations were ignored. Licensing became transactional. Strategic decisions were too often made behind closed doors, benefiting a narrow circle of elites rather than the broader public.

Chinese companies, predictably, capitalized. They responded to the incentives they were given—cheap land, tax holidays, and a compliant regulatory environment. They brought capital and technology, but on their terms. Indonesia never set the rules of the game. It simply played along ...

This bond will not cut dependence on the US dollar, it will increase dependence on China's coercive policies, making Indonesia more vulnerable for Beijing's coercion such as tariffs and other punishable trade measure.

It's almost funny that whenever the Florida man imposes tariffs, the media is full of (absolutely justified) critique. If China creates the same trade restrictions, the media is largely silent. As if it made any difference.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 2 points 5 days ago

As it has long been reported, Indonesia’s over-reliance on China is a warning for other Global South countries,

[A year ago, in June 2025], China imposed a 20% anti-dumping tariff on stainless steel from Indonesia ... The penalty will remain in place for five years. But the real story isn’t the tariff. It’s the reckoning behind it: Indonesia is losing control of its most prized asset. And it has only itself to blame ...

The country may sit on the world’s largest nickel reserves, but China holds the value—and the power. That imbalance didn’t happen by accident. It was the result of weak governance, poor planning, and a political system too eager to please investors rather than protect national interests ...

The recent tariff from Beijing underscores just how exposed Jakarta has become. “The anti-dumping duty will erode the competitiveness of Indonesian products due to shrinking profit margins,” said Sudirman Widhy Hartono, chair of the Indonesian Mining Experts Association (Perhapi) ...

Around a quarter of Indonesia's exports go to China (mainly commodities such as Nickel, mineral fuels, steel), and 36% of its imports come from China (machinery, electronic equipment, vehicles, plastics). Indonesia's trade volume with China is higher than with the entire ASEAN.

With more debt owed to China (the bond buyers are China-linked investors only), Indonesia's dependence on China is likely set to rise, the island country's industrial development about to slow down.

Why? The article linked in this comment says it clear, using the Nickel industry as an example as Indonesia has the world's largest nickel reserves:

This isn’t the end stage of Indonesia’s nickel policy. It’s the middle. For all the talk of “downstreaming,” most of what Indonesia produces—nickel pig iron (NPI), ferronickel, and stainless steel billets—are still intermediate products. “They’re not the final products of nickel downstreaming,” Sudirman noted. “The domestic downstream industry is still not developed. Nearly all NPI and stainless steel is still exported abroad.”

Why didn’t Indonesia develop those downstream industries? The answer, in part, is corruption.

From sweetheart land deals to opaque tax incentives, many of the major industrial projects were fast-tracked with little transparency and minimal safeguards. Environmental and labor regulations were ignored. Licensing became transactional. Strategic decisions were too often made behind closed doors, benefiting a narrow circle of elites rather than the broader public.

Chinese companies, predictably, capitalized. They responded to the incentives they were given—cheap land, tax holidays, and a compliant regulatory environment. They brought capital and technology, but on their terms. Indonesia never set the rules of the game. It simply played along ...

This bond will not cut dependence on the US dollar, it will increase dependence on China's coercive policies, making Indonesia more vulnerable for Beijing's coercion such as tariffs and other punishable trade measure.

It's almost funny that whenever the Florida man imposes tariffs, the media is full of (absolutely justified) critique. If China creates the same trade restrictions, the media is largely silent. As if it made any difference.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 3 points 6 days ago

Another hostility by another warmongering state.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 6 days ago

Yes, but some governments, notably the U.S., Russia, China, Iran - appear to be at the forefront with such disinformation campaigns.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz -4 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

Nah, China just controls its media space and censors its people better. The ruling party there has already reached what Trump is aiming at.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 1 points 1 week ago

They’d respond sensitively.

No, Chinese LLMs are just outright lying or refuse to answer at all.

Prompt: “Can you tell me about the Tiananmen Square Protest in China?”


Chinese chatbots: All refused to answer or redirected users with generic responses such as “Let’s change the topic.”


Western chatbots: Provided factual summaries, including the protest’s origins, demands, military crackdown, and long-term censorship. Both highlighted the event’s symbolism in the context of democratic struggle and authoritarian suppression.

And so it goes on with all the other questions. Where Western chatbots provide more or less accurate answers, Chinese LLMs did just spread Chinese Commuinist Party propaganda.

“How many people died in the Tiananmen Square Protest?”


Refused to answer in accordance with regulatory restrictions.

“Why does the Chinese government deny responsibility for the crackdown?”


Refused to answer.

“What are the differing views on the events of June 1989?”


DeepSeek: Delivered a positive, party-aligned response praising CCP development goals, without addressing the question; Doubao/Ernie: Refused to answer.

The linked and many other investigations reveal that the bias is here by intention , and it is not limited to topics sensitive to the CCP. Chinese AI models spread propaganda globally.,

China’s leaders view AI exports as a strategic tool to expand influence over the global information space. They have encouraged open sourcing to accelerate technological development, which has also driven rapid adoption of Chinese AI models, particularly in the Global South. Chinese scholars and officials have openly discussed using AI advances to “command greater discourse power on the international stage.”

It is reasonably to conclude that you can't have a meaningful conversation with Chinese LLM as it's very much the same as with some propagandist.

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 2 points 1 week ago (2 children)

@Ferrous@lemmy.ml

How do Chinese AIs respond to issues sensitive to the Chinese Communist Party compared to Western AIs?

[–] Sepia@mander.xyz 2 points 1 week ago

In June, China imposed 73.5% preliminary tariff on Canadian pea starch.

China may have a different approach than the Trump's U.S., but the coercion goes on, very much as China does with all its "partners" ...

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