showmeyourkizinti

Mornings are pretty nice.

Naw just tattoos on their arms. Why mess with the classics.

/s /s just in case some numpty thinks this is a good idea

I don’t know, you make a lot of good points and I do like your plan. I just dislike being wrong on the internet.

So if I sign up to your newsletter will you accept that as my admitting your probably more right then I am?

Seriously thanks I appreciate the posting.

Well I don’t live there and I haven’t been through the south for over 20 years so I’ll take your word on it. But I don’t like to give anywhere I believe in a full ticket run and maybe a serious run at Florida by the top of the ticket can’t win but could help turn some purple districts a bit more blue. And the Presidency is worth much more than the podium unless she’s got the house too.

So DJT failed to get Mike Johnson to toe the line about forcing a shut down if they didn’t get the voter suppression that he wanted. Sounds like the rest of the party is slipping through his fingers.

I don’t disagree but making the republicans spend money in Florida also prevents them from spending elsewhere.

If Trump says that “It’s too late” she should offer to make it earlier in the day. Sundowning is a legitimate concern for the elderly.

Connections Puzzle #468

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Ok so

Nate left 538 about a year ago. He now publishes his own SubStack for subscription and does a lot of consulting, notably including a hefty contract with Peter Theil the well know billionaire and right wing power broker who pushed JD Vance to be the Vice Presidential candidate for Trump

I agree with your take on the old 538 model, but if you read Nate’s new substack it become pretty clear that he’s been ‘captured’. Almost all of his post seem to fairly anti-Harris in their biases and it feels like all of his writings are really meant for one person, that person being the owner of Polymarket who he has a very large consulting contract. What these biases are doing to the Model I don’t know but the new model at 538 which was built from the ground up by other statisticians consistently trends about 10-20% higher odds for Harris taking the election.

Connections Puzzle #467

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I guess I’m the weird one today.

Ha! Jokes on Janeway, I’m in to that shit.

Honestly I love how much Kate Mulgrew grew in to the character. Janeway is such an interesting character and she turned in a really complex and interesting performance.

Plus Hologram Janeway is so much fun.