this post was submitted on 31 Oct 2024
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While millions will still vote for the Republican candidate, perhaps hating immigrants more than they love reproductive rights, the only certainty at this point is that many millions more will vote for Vice President Kamala Harris. In the latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll, the Democrat enjoyed a 14% advantage with women over Trump; among women with a college degree, that number rose to 23%; among women voters under 40, it rocketed to 34%.

...

That, in turn, is causing some MAGA commentators to break from their usual posture of feigned confidence to outright panic.

“Early vote has been disproportionately female,” Charlie Kirk, head of Turning Point USA and helping to lead the Trump campaign’s get-out-the-vote effort, posted on social media. “If men stay at home, Kamala is president. It’s that simple.”

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[–] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 35 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (6 children)

Well if early indicators are correct, not only will Kamala win, it's possible to retake congress.

To state the obvious... Go Vote, bring your friends, every vote counts. Especially when it comes to down ballot.

[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 49 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Well if early indicators are correct, not only will Kamala win, it’s possible to retake congress.

Don't do that. Don't give me that kind of hope.

[–] ikidd@lemmy.world 10 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

The Democrats will manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, never fear.

God I'm so worried about this.

Like Trump will go through the predicable steps of election fraud as perpetrated in 2020, and Dems will say "oh fiddlesticks he tricked us, oh well".

[–] SkyezOpen@lemmy.world 4 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Don't worry, even if dems grab a trifecta they still won't undo enough damage for us to actually progress.

[–] nomous@lemmy.world 10 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

They'd need consistent wins for the next 50 years to undo the last 70 years of republican policies.

[–] Serinus@lemmy.world 7 points 3 weeks ago

Depends on the margins. There's a huge difference between a 50 seat senate win and a 56 seat senate win.

[–] StannisDMannis@lemmy.today 1 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Even if they get in, they'll undo very little and change even less unless it serves their corporate and billionaire owners.

The goal is to ensure Trump doesn't win to make things worse, that doesn't make the Dems a force for positive change.

[–] SkyezOpen@lemmy.world 1 points 3 weeks ago

And yet they're still better than giving trump another 4 years.

[–] Zombiepirate@lemmy.world 38 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

It would be the sweetest nectar if a woman beat that misogynistic, rapey carnival barker.

A black woman.

One of my favorite anti-Trump signs said, "God kept Trump alive so he could lose to a black woman."

[–] LibertyLizard@slrpnk.net 15 points 3 weeks ago

Early voting is not an accurate prediction of the results of the whole electorate. Very different demographics.

[–] not_that_guy05@lemmy.world 6 points 3 weeks ago

I had to down vote you for providing me with hope which could lead to mental breakdown if it doesn't occur. Thank you but no thank you.

I rather be on the edge and hope people do as well and go vote.

[–] PM_Your_Nudes_Please@lemmy.world 3 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Here’s a harsh reminder that Trump is farther ahead in the polls than he was with Hillary at this same point in the election. The polls showed a landslide win for Hillary by this point, but that obviously didn’t happen. Now the polls show a much closer race for Kamala, which means (if the same thing happens again) then Trump has a very real shot at winning again.

Though to be fair, it looks like Kamala has learned from Hillary, and avoided the “we’ve got this, no problem, don’t even worry about it” attitude that Hillary had early on in the race. Hillary wanted to exude an air of confidence early on, like she had been working towards the presidential race for decades. That ended up being her downfall, because it meant a lot of democrats just fucking stayed home. Because if the person is saying not to worry about it, why do I need to bother voting? The issue is that when every person told themselves that same thing, it meant Hillary lost a lot of votes due to apathy. If you go back and look at her campaign, there was a very drastic shift in Hillary’s messaging a month or two before Election Day, when her team realized that democrat voters had become apathetic. It suddenly shifted from “we’ve got this” to “oh holy fuck please fucking please vote

Here’s a harsh reminder that Trump is farther ahead in the polls than he was with Hillary at this same point in the election.

(X) Three things:

  1. don't fucking trust polls. They're beyond biased at this point.

  2. remember the daily death announcements during COVID? Remember how they got broken down demographically? Because the reds didn't trust the vaccine, by the 3rd wave, R's were losing voters at almost a rate of 3:1. And during that same time people were coming of age. Younger people tend to lean left. I can't find the figures, so, grain of salt, but i recall it being at around 8000 or so a day. So, Maga is losing voters while Dems are gaining voters. Daily. Over an extended period of time...

  3. just look at the rallies. If the race was as close as the polls claim, you'd have similar numbers of attendees for either candidate. But, we're not seeing that, are we? Kamala is bringing in 75000. I heard the ellipses rally had 100k. What's Trump getting? 7000? 9000? These numbers just don't gel.

Now, I'm not saying this is locked down. Far from it. Go and fucking vote. It needs to be an absolute landslide, and we know maga will still bitch. But don't trust the billionaire-owned corporate media, which has shown, time and time again, who their favorite is.