this post was submitted on 21 Feb 2025
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Revolutions don't happen because there's too much suffering. Revolutions happen when people think there's no other way to force change, and when they think they can win.
It will get worse domestically. But this will not contribute to any uprising. In fact, it very likely will make it harder.
If you look at the French revolution, sure, there was suffering.
But look at who took over when the revolution had taken the heads of the monarchy. Was it the peasants who had waved pitchforks? Was it bollocks. It was a bunch of nobles who were sick of their lot under the old regime.
Revolutions happen when wannabe new leaders instigate them. Hordes of angry people are a force to be reckoned with, but without leaders they ain't organising shit. They're a tool for takeovers.
The bourgeoisie, rather than nobility, and the peasants were largely reactionaries; it was the urban proletariat which provided the enthusiastic manpower of the Revolution.
But yes, I agree. Organization and leaders make revolutions.
That's because the people in charge (historically speaking) have made sure that not enough universal suffering happens to create a revolution. This administration is a new kind of special, and I wouldn't count it out.
Bruh, I can point you to some very universally-suffering societies, both modern and historical, which did not provoke revolutions; and every revolution I can think of was very far from universally suffering, compared to prior or later conditions.
Suffering is only marginally related to revolution, at best.
I'll make a note that you are an expert in revolutions and move on with my life.
Edit: just to be clear, not that I really mind downvotes but I'm not being sarcastic and I'm not going toe to toe with somebody who is well versed in something that I am not I am clearly out of my depth. And I have not downloaded OP.
There are quite a number of revolutions in history, which is my field, yes.