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this post was submitted on 01 Sep 2026
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5% up from 1%.
The confidence intervals on these percentages are, unsurprisingly, pretty broad, so describing this as a five-fold increase is dodgy. You can see more on p11 of the full report where the earlier figure could have been as much as 1.6% and the later figure as little as 3.5%, which would be a little over a two-fold increase. That increase is what we can be confident of.
The trend is not in doubt and is concerning, but let's not reproduce shitty statistics.