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this post was submitted on 16 Sep 2026
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Turkey waited so long they gave up. But History is not over.
They did? Understandable. I never really understood the problem but I always had an intuition it would be something regarding the constant friction with Greece.
It's complicated. Greece has historically actually been a huge proponent of Turkey's EU accession as a way of what we see as "taming" Turkish aggression and border-revisionism. That is still in some ways the official Greek position, although with Erdogan it looks ridiculously fantastical and instead our oligarchy is delusional enough to think that allying itself with Apartheid Israel against Turkey is a good long term strategy.
In Sarah Paine's maritime-vs-continental power, Greece has been trying to play the game of maritime power logic, i.e., prosperity through rules, whereas Turkey has been following more a continental power logic, that focuses on control of territory. So, the Greek strategy of engaging Turkey through the "web of rules" framework of the EU makes sense. There are however two wrinkles:
But, frankly, the biggest actual opposition to Turkey's candidacy has always come from prissy Western Europeans who pearl clutch about a Muslim country becoming an EU member. And this became a self-fulfilling prophesy.
I remember reading an article many years ago, with the then very liberal turkish prime minister, where it was stated turkish people spent more time at the cafe than at the mosque and how the belief was more cultural than religious.
Times long past.
Once Cyprus joined the EU all hope for admitting Turkey was utterly and completely lost.