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A striking new poll finds Democrat Mary Peltola leading GOP Senator Dan Sullivan by 46-41 in the Alaska Senate race. This is big news: Because quality polling of Alaska is so rare, it’s a real indicator that a Senate majority is now truly gettable for Democrats. The poll also finds Trump badly underwater and absolutely tanking with independents—in Alaska! The kicker? The survey was done for AARP by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio, along with top Democratic pollster John Anzalone, so Republicans will take it ve...

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[-] danc4498@lemmy.world 30 points 1 month ago

Individual polls are usually meaningless. I've been keeping an eye on this website for aggregate polling data. They do more than just average the polls they review the polling company and data and give it a weight.

For Alaska, it's d+3 right now, which is way too close to be comfortable.

https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/senate/general/alaska

[-] kingofras@lemmy.world 15 points 1 month ago

Agreed, plus this type of poll messaging is counterproductive. People need to register today, go to a pre poll place or mail in their ballot. This is the one election that really should not be decided on election day.

[-] danc4498@lemmy.world 12 points 1 month ago

Trump is going to make election day a nightmare. This is exactly right. I will be voting as soon as possible.

[-] onlyhalfminotaur@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

Whoa, didn't know some of the 538 people were doing this. Nate Silver (creator of 538) still owns the original models and has been updating and running them over at natesilver.net

[-] danc4498@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Yeah, I loved the 538 podcast. I listen to Galen Druke's GD Politics podcast every week, which is how I found this site.

[-] onlyhalfminotaur@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

I'm sure you have heard of the new Still Counting podcast then!

[-] danc4498@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

I have not, I will be listening though

this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2026
105 points (98.2% liked)

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