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Trump’s Pollster Drops Bomb on GOP as Midterm Panic Grows: “Bloodbath”
(newrepublic.com)
I’ll believe it when I see it.
US news are such a tease.
Individual polls are usually meaningless. I've been keeping an eye on this website for aggregate polling data. They do more than just average the polls they review the polling company and data and give it a weight.
For Alaska, it's d+3 right now, which is way too close to be comfortable.
Agreed, plus this type of poll messaging is counterproductive. People need to register today, go to a pre poll place or mail in their ballot. This is the one election that really should not be decided on election day.
Trump is going to make election day a nightmare. This is exactly right. I will be voting as soon as possible.
Whoa, didn't know some of the 538 people were doing this. Nate Silver (creator of 538) still owns the original models and has been updating and running them over at natesilver.net
Yeah, I loved the 538 podcast. I listen to Galen Druke's GD Politics podcast every week, which is how I found this site.
I'm sure you have heard of the new Still Counting podcast then!
I have not, I will be listening though
Other GOP operatives that the party is bleeding Latinos
I can’t imagine why.
This means jack shit if we allow Trump to cheat at any point of the process. Which he admittedly will try to at every chance he gets.
The only thing that matters this November is that you GO TO THE POLLS AND VOTE
polls are pointless when most polled don't bother to vote.
Polls are better at swaying elections than they are at accurately representing the opinions of a population.
Vote. Ignore anyone who tells you they know how it's gonna go.
How is this still so close??
Because these polls don’t take into account how many Republicans and Independents will simply not vote this November rather than voting for a Democrat.
The polls do attempt to correct for that, but there’s no reliable way to measure it, so these are the best numbers we can get.
They discuss this frequently on the podcasts Pod Save America and Pollercoaster.
And now, Still Counting, with Nate Silver, Claire Malone, and Galen Druke, the old FiveThirtyEight podcast gang!
this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2026
105 points (98.2% liked)
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