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Trump’s Pollster Drops Bomb on GOP as Midterm Panic Grows: “Bloodbath”
(newrepublic.com)
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Because these polls don’t take into account how many Republicans and Independents will simply not vote this November rather than voting for a Democrat.
The polls do attempt to correct for that, but there’s no reliable way to measure it, so these are the best numbers we can get.
They discuss this frequently on the podcasts Pod Save America and Pollercoaster.
And now, Still Counting, with Nate Silver, Claire Malone, and Galen Druke, the old FiveThirtyEight podcast gang!