this post was submitted on 07 Nov 2026
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Fuck AI
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Have they tried the classical method of adding up what they actually own and what they owe to others, and then factor in what they have earned in the last ten years? That would give a clear and fair evaluation of the company for an IPO.
That's not how any IPO works.
There was, once upon a time, some limit to the market valuation of a company that approximated the most money they could earn if they came to dominate their entire market, times the inverse of the rate of return for highly secure (like AAA) bonds.
Now speculation assumes that companies will grow to exceed the size of their whole industry, perhaps in the near future, and returns from highly secure investments were really low post covid (resulting in pretty much a 40x valuation multiplier), which has just... held on since then.
It's weird, and I don't like it. Why should a company ever be worth more than all the money it could ever make?
Because it's a grift
Not Spacex, the company that is 80% an ai company?
What?