this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2023
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I'm not sure we will see a lot in the next 5 years. ChatGPT is not at it's level because of advances in this area, but because they took the dive and consumed huge amounts of copyrighted material to train a model described by Google in about 2017. With the internet now flooded with AI generated content, the data can only get worse so any significant gains need to come from the model.
At some point we will see rapid gains once machine learning gets good enough to write a model better than what we have, and then uses that better one to make an even better one, and repeat. But I don't think that's in the next 5 years, but there's a good chance it's within my life.