this post was submitted on 13 Jun 2023
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Politics

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Article from a few weeks ago, but now that G. Elliott Morris is taking over without Nate's models, I'm curious what lemmy's think about political polling analysis from FiveThirtyEight?

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[–] TechnologyClassroom@partizle.com 0 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That's not good. Specifically, I believe Trump beat Clinton because of 538.

[–] KerPop47@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago

That's not really accurate. The polls were going back and forth for over a month leading up to the election, and the FBI announce they were re-opening the case into Clinton's emails 3 days before voting day. The polls just didn't have the time to reflect that change.

[–] brognak@lemm.ee 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Was it 538, or just the utter idiocy of the average American? Just because the polls say he has a 33% chance of winning, doesn't mean stay home, it means the opposite.

Thems worse odds than Russian roulette.