this post was submitted on 16 Jul 2023
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Some excerpts from the article:

Recent reports have warned of a 'mortgage bomb' that could blow up - and a growing number of people unable to pay back debts. Is the story as explosive as some headlines would have you believe?

"When you apply for a mortgage at those very low rates on offer through the pandemic, chances are you would have been tested at rates that are closer to where we're at now," Westpac's Satish Ranchhod told Checkpoint this week.

"People are getting pay rises. Over Covid, we saw both businesses and personal customers really tighten their belts, improve their savings habits and paid down debts. Thirty five-odd percent of our home loans are more than six months ahead on their repayments." [Says ANZ]

Interest.co.nz said the proportion of home loans in arrears on the first of May was lower than the 1.5 percent recorded at the start of March 2021.

Westpac told Bloomberg they'd seen an uptick in customers seeking financial support, but it said most of that was due to Cyclone Gabrielle in February. Kiwibank said it hadn't seen a significant uplift in consumers requiring support.

BNZ said that less than half of 1 percent of its mortgages were in arrears for 90 days or more - far lower than the average of 1.9 percent in arrears back in March 2020. Bernard Hickey in his newsletter, The Kaka, said talk of a mortgage bomb was "reckless".

Hickey said those most likely to be in a difficult position now would be those who took risks to buy properties which they did not currently live in.

"They are effectively ... complaining about a government policy which made that investment choice riskier. That would be like saying the government should help out or bail out people who borrowed money to buy shares," he said.

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[–] chrizbie 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I'll be honest, a lot of this stuff goes right over my head but all I know is that I bought a kiwibuild apartment in Auckland at $650k during the pandemic, the interest rate is fixed 5.65% until November next year and we are definitely doing it tough financially, I'm currently going for a higher paying job which should make things a little better but after ditching my career as a chef my earning potential has dipped a bit and that couldn't have happened at a worse time.. importantly though I am a lot happier and my family and I are still keeping our heads above water (just)

[–] Dave 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I'd guess you're in a pretty good position. If you're doing ok at 5.65%, my non-expert opinion is that by the time your rate expires in 16 months you'll probably be able to refix at a similar rate.

[–] chrizbie 2 points 1 year ago

We did get lucky in some aspects, kiwibank would only lend us $400,000 so that was a no go but we went with an even smaller bank lender and both the guy we dealt with and the lender are very good to us (nzhl)

That's probably way too much information to be vomiting out online lol