this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2024
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[–] WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world 4 points 20 hours ago (1 children)

Look what happened to the agricultural situation in the UK after brexit: a large portion of the east EU citizens left and there was no one who wanted to pick crops.

Now they can't get seasonal workers because of visa issues.

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com 0 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

Well they could simply raise wages

[–] WhatYouNeed@lemmy.world 2 points 10 hours ago

Then the farmers go broke. Or prices could rise allowing the farmers to be paid better, and in turn pay better wages.

[–] Doom@ttrpg.network 21 points 1 day ago (1 children)

are you equating slavery and immigration?

fuckin dumbos

[–] glimse@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I don't want any damn Mexicans working low paid agriculture jobs and paying taxes! I want MY taxes to go toward the private prisons that will house them before more of my taxes go toward deporting them! I'm prepared to pay even more for groceries so get ICE rolling.

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com -5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

All you've done is replace black people with Mexicans. Are you happy with yourself?

[–] glimse@lemmy.world 4 points 1 day ago

Don't worry, there's plenty of room in these for-profit prisons for other minorities.

[–] atro_city@fedia.io 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I don't understand. Is the statement incorrect? Or are you hoping that the wages for pickers will go up enough for "real Americans" to take the jobs?

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com -2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I'm hoping the wages will go up, yes.

[–] _stranger_@lemmy.world 2 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

why hope when you can vote for people who will pass laws to make the wages go up?

[–] realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.club 1 points 17 hours ago (1 children)
[–] _stranger_@lemmy.world 2 points 12 hours ago (1 children)
[–] realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.club 0 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

True, I should correct my statement: more people who voted did than didn't.

[–] _stranger_@lemmy.world 1 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

Did they though? Will we get laws to raise wages?

[–] realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.club -1 points 12 hours ago (1 children)
[–] _stranger_@lemmy.world 1 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Ah, so you're back to hope, got it.

[–] realcaseyrollins@thelemmy.club -1 points 9 hours ago

Oh my gosh y'all are so ridiculous 😂😂

[–] atro_city@fedia.io 4 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Is it a likely progression? And how long do you believe it will take? Also, I'm curious what you are basing your hope on and what the you believe the knock-on effects will be. It would be good to know if something similar happened in the US or another country in order to compare.

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com -5 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I'm not an psychic, but I'd imagine the more we deport, the more wages will go up. Hopefully in 4 years, we'll be in a much better place.

The biggest side effect would be higher rates for fruit/veggies and for landscaping. But I'd pay extra for fruit I know is grown ethically. I already do, as much as I try.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 4 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Setting aside all the other issues, if you think creating a worker shortage (which might increase wages short term) will do anything good for your economy: it won't.

Historically economic growth is pretty closely tied to population growth. More hands create more value. Removing hands will make the remaining hands more valuable but there is still less value created. And the people that hold economic power aren't going to give up their share easily, so one way or another it will eventually mean even less for the workers.

[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

There was population growth in the late 1800s, it wasn't until the population got paid more that the economy took off.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 2 points 1 day ago (1 children)

While that's true, the capitalists where getting richer and richer even before the big economic growth. They don't really care. Also, the wage increases had to be hard fought for by a united working class. I don't see american workers unite right now to fight the rich.

[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 2 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

Without exploitable labor employers will have to pay employees more. Workers won't have to fight, they can do nothing and wages will still increase.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 3 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

They can move production to places with available labour. You know for example the places you deported all that labour to.

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com 1 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Which is where the tariffs come in. Helps balance everything out.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 1 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

By making the products more expensive while your wages stagnate? How's that balancing anything out?

[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 3 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Why will wages stagnante?

A rising tide raises all boats or in this case wages.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 1 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Not if the work follows the workers outside of the US

[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 3 points 17 hours ago (1 children)
[–] killingspark@feddit.org 2 points 17 hours ago (1 children)
[–] jimbolauski@lemm.ee 1 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

I read your non-response, which is why I asked how wages will stagnate to your response to tarrifs.

[–] killingspark@feddit.org 2 points 12 hours ago

The argument was that wages rise if labour is scarce. My counter is that labour will just be moved outside with the people, thus countering the scarcity, thus making wages stagnate rather than increase.

Somehow tariffs are supposed to balance this out. Which is really the nonsense in all of this.

[–] Kaboom@reddthat.com 1 points 1 day ago

Creating an under class of people doesn't help. Look at the South vs the North. The south had slaves, the north largely did not. The north has much more industry.

[–] atro_city@fedia.io 3 points 1 day ago

I'm not an psychic, but I'd imagine the more we deport, the more wages will go up

I think it's a reasonable assumption, but the reason I was asking for the basis for that hope is because I was hoping you had done some research and found some data to base that assumption on. It could have been a solid basis for it. In the UK, where Brexit was touted to achieve the same goal, the wages did go up (not a very good source, but well) however they ended up asking for the pickers, truck drivers, and handiworkers to return (EuroNews 2021, BBC 2023, Le Monde).

If you were to take a look at Germany (3rd biggest economy in the world), it struggles to get workers for elderly care and instead of increasing wages to attract more people, they are instead making easier to hire abroad e.g India.

The biggest side effect would be higher rates for fruit/veggies and for landscaping. But I'd pay extra for fruit I know is grown ethically. I already do, as much as I try.

I agree that the cost of food and landscaping will go up, which could be troubling for some who hoped for the opposite. Given how wages have not risen at the same rate as inflation, it is difficult to share your hope for increased wages - be it for the pickers and landscapers or the people paying for the produce and services. But, I may be wrong, I'm not a psychic either.

I do commend you for willing to pay more for ethically grown (and harvested) fruit. Whether your fellow countrymen and women are is yet to be seen.


In conclusion, my fear is that while there might be mass deportations and a real chance of wages going up, IMO the most likely outcomes are

  • a drastic labour shortage in under-regulated and low-wage jobs previously held by the deported
  • a quick increase in products and services of said jobs
  • following options:
    • lobbying to simplify and speed up the return of said workers to keep wages / costs down
    • prison workers being forced to do the jobs (some places already do that) --> prison industrial complex growth
    • wage increases starting from minimum wage to attract US citizens to do the jobs
    • lots of businesses going bankrupt followed by consolidation by larger businesses and acute risk or establishment of monopolies

Whether those are all good, whether they happen together or separately, I don't know, but my hopes aren't very high that the total outcome will be positive.

Good luck though.

[–] yuri@pawb.social 1 points 1 day ago

y’know i’m honestly a little relieved that other conservatives are just as willfully ignorant as the ones i have to interact with in person.