TagMeInSkipIGotThis

joined 2 years ago
[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 21 hours ago

Its also a massive size jump too. I've stuck with my iPhone 8 in large part because I just don't want a massive phone in my pocket. At this rate god only knows what i'll do when the 8 finally dies, most manufacturers followed the trend and got their phones to swell.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (6 children)

I grew up on a farm with rainwater, but my mum made us have a fluoride tablet every morning so my teeth did ok :)

I think we were a bit of an aberration back then so god only knows what its like nowadays. The generation before my parents (my Great-Aunts) by the time they were in their late 30s their teeth were so bad all 3 sisters basically had them all pulled and had false teeth for the next 50 years.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 4 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I think that's a reasonable take given John Key actually put his cards on the table pre-election saying he supported Trump because he would be better for business.

Which is a pretty willfully stupid take to be honest, unless when he meant oligarchs when he said what he said.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 1 points 1 week ago

That's entirely on the WRU, if they'd paid any attention at all to Southern Hemisphere rugby they'd have seen what a disaster he was with the Chiefs in Super Rugby where in effect he had to be promoted out of the coaching role because the losses were so continual. And then Clayton MacMillan pretty much turned the whole thing around with basically the same squad.

They addressed the wrong problem when they ditched Pivac, and since then the top team performance has gotten worse while the underlying issues haven't been addressed at all.

And given Gatland didn't resign at the end of last season, and this has been termed a mutual one I imagine there'll be a lot of scuttlebutt about whether he just held out for a payout or not, which is money WRU can ill afford given the problems still there!

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 1 week ago

Man, I don't think the early yellow did Scotland any favours but it wasn't as bad as it could have been. But I really thought they had a good shot at the win given the home field advantage, with England beating France at home in a bit of a shock I guess its Ireland's to lose now already after only 2 rounds.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 1 week ago (2 children)

Just jumping in to add, lots of people think this is a Public Sector problem with IT procurement. But coming up to 20 year experience in IT for corps, its pretty much the same thing.

Lots of moaning about bespoke, or multiple systems interacting together, so instead lets buy an "off-the-shelf" solution because we did an 80/20 and we won't need to customise anything.

Oh whoops, turns out the 20 was the critical stuff and we now need some convoluted "fix" by our hugely expensive consultants' favoured implementation shop (oh weird, they share the same parent company?!) that gets 3/4 of the way through before budget is pulled and some stuff just never works. If you're lucky its left in the old system, sometimes you just lose features.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 4 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I was considering responding to the consultation but only 3 small sections of the Napier-Taupo are included and I don't really see what the point is. They've made the bulk of the most dangerous stretch of highway 100km/h with no consultation:

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I have more faith that Bishop listens to advice than Brown. The latter seems a lot more stubborn about just doing what the lobby has paid for, or what will "own the libs" than what's sensible.

Though I wonder if this is more that they've seen stats showing how much 80km/h reduced crashes, injuries & deaths and now want to be able to say well it was the public that decided, not us.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I had these sorts of issues too, always assumed it was something i'd goofed - but have never had similar with Caddy.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I used NPM as well, and eventually just got sick of various issues i'd had with it (probably all my fault, but...) so switched to Caddy and it was just so much easier and reliable for me. I'd heartily recommend it.

 

Posting purely because we all need to talk about how rad that catch from GP was.

 

Just starting an early thread as there's injury news that will impact the weekend.

 

The NZ based franchises & Moana Pasifika are all announcing their squads for the 2025 season today. On the hour, in NZDT:

  • Hurricanes 10am
  • Crusaders 11am
  • Chiefs 12pm
  • Moana Pasifika 1pm
  • Highlanders 2pm
  • Blues 3pm
 

I hated Cheika when he was the Wallabies coach and having ding dong battles with the ABs. But since he's coached around the place and learning a lot more about his story i've begun to find him a much more interesting and charming coach than I ever gave him credit for.

This is a great interview, well worth a listen and i'm so far barely half way through it.

 

I guess week 1 was really NZ v Japan last week, but somehow I don't think that really counts.

Ran out of puff at the end of the NPC so haven't been posting much, but lets have a thread to discuss this weekend's matches.

 

Super Rugby obviously has a bit of a weird structure now with only 11 teams after the Melbourne Rebels collapsed.

It got me thinking a bit about what NZR & ARU could change assuming no other countries are going to join, and one thing I wondered was whether New Zealand should deliberately weaken our Super franchises to help make the Australian ones more competitive & hopefully make their public a bit more interested (if they win more).

So I started to think about what the population spread was like around New Zealand and one thing that really sticks out is how bottom heavy our current distribution of clubs is. 1 million punters in the South Island get 2 franchises, but 4.5m odd North Islanders only get 3 + Moana Pasifika. Its actually a bit silly that the Highlanders still exist given the population shifts since the 90s.

Anyway, that made me wonder if it might be possible to in effect add a 6th New Zealand franchise - which including MP would make 7 based in New Zealand in total, so came up with this before & after table to show how its a much more equitable split. And then 7 NZ, 4 Aus & 1 Fiji gets us back to 12 Franchises and at least in NZ gets more games in front of more people.

Super Franchise Population Approx Provinces Population (2018) Stadiums Capacity
Auckland Blues 1850k Northland 186k Semenoff Stadium 19k
Counties-Manukau ^1^ Navigation Homes Stadium 12k
North Harbour ^1^ North Harbour Stadium 25k
Auckland 1655k Eden Park 50k
Waikato Chiefs 920k Bay of Plenty 321k Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark 26k & 20k
Waikato 476k FMG Stadium 25k
Taranaki 121k Yarrow Stadium 25k
Wellington Hurricanes 950k Hawke’s Bay 172k McLean Park 24k
Manawatū 248k^2^ Arena Manawatu 15k
Wellington 526k Sky Stadium 35k
Canterbury Crusaders 725k Tasman 103k^3^ Trafalgar Park 18k
Canterbury 623k One NZ Stadium^4^ 30k
Otago Highlanders 335k Otago 235k Forsyth Barr Stadium 31k
Southland 101k Rugby Park 17k
Moana Pasifika^5^ - North Harbour based - North Harbour Stadium 25k
  • 1 Included with Auckland.
  • 2 Includes Whanganui in the census data.
  • 3 From 2026 I think the new stadium is supposed to be in use.
  • 4 Includes Marlborough, same as the NPC Province
  • 5 Moana Pasifika are currently, and for the forseeable future going to be playing most of their matches in New Zealand, neither Samoa nor Tonga have stadiums and infrastructure setup to host like Fiji Drua have.
  • Population regions not included:
    • Gisborne 50k - because its quite remote from either Hurricanes or Chiefs
    • West Coast South Island 32k - because its remote from everywhere
New Regional Franchise Provinces Population Approx Stadiums
Auckland North Northland 850k Semenoff Stadium
North Harbour North Harbour Stadium
Auckland South Auckland 850k Eden Park
Counties-Manukau Navigation Homes Stadium
West North Island Waikato 600k FMG Stadium
Taranaki Yarrow Stadium
East North Island Bay of Plenty 550k^6^ Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark
Hawke’s Bay McLean Park
Bottom North Island Wellington 770k Sky Stadium
Manawatū Arena Manawatu
Canterbury Crusaders Tasman 725k Trafalgar Park
Canterbury One NZ Stadium
Otago Highlanders Otago 335k Forsyth Barr Stadium
Southland Rugby Park
  • 6 I included Gisborne population in this one as with a franchise based in this part of the country they are a bit more included than they are with the Chiefs or Hurricanes.
 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Tasman 9 8 5 37
2 Wellington 9 7 7 35
3 Taranaki 9 7 7 35
4 BoP 9 6 9 33
5 Hawke's Bay 9 6 8 32
6 Waikato 9 5 8 28
7 Canterbury 9 5 5 25
8 Counties-Manukau 9 4 7 23
9 North Harbour 9 3 11 23
10 Otago 9 4 5 21
11 Auckland 9 3 7 19
12 Northland 9 2 5 13
13 Southland 9 2 4 12
14 Manawatū 9 1 5 9

Fixtures: 4/10:

  • Northland v Otago

5/10:

  • Manawatū v Counties-Manukau
  • Southland v North Harbour
  • Wellington v Hawke's Bay
  • Canterbury v Waikato

6/10:

  • Tasman v Taranaki
  • Auckland v Bay of Plenty

Notes: Auckland managing to fail against Hawke's Bay on the Saturday didn't bode well for their effort to take the shield off Tasman, and sure enough they failed again so bar a miracle where they manage to beat BoP and the two worst teams pick up wins they're out. Ditto for Otago.

The drama in this round is basically down to how many bonus points North Harbour pick up against Southland, compared to Counties-Manukau against the Manawatū Turbos who are awful.

Beyond that there's still another couple of big games. Given recent form Hawke's Bay are unlikely to be much of a challenge for Wellington, but the Tasman v Taranaki game should determine who gets 2nd place and later that day Waikato & Canterbury are basically playing to determine which team they have to travel to for the quarter finals.

4
NZ NPC Round 8 (self.rugby)
submitted 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) by TagMeInSkipIGotThis to c/rugby@sh.itjust.works
 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 8 7 7 35
2 Tasman 7 7 4 32
3 Taranaki 8 6 6 30
4 BoP 8 5 8 28
5 Hawke's Bay 8 5 7 27
6 Canterbury 8 5 5 25
7 Waikato 8 4 7 23
8 Counties-Manukau 8 3 6 18
9 North Harbour 8 2 10 18
10 Auckland 7 3 5 17
11 Otago 8 3 4 16
12 Northland 8 2 5 13
13 Southland 8 2 4 12
14 Manawatū 8 1 3 7

Fixtures: 27/09:

  • Counties-Manukau v Wellington

28/09:

  • BoP v Northland
  • Hawke's Bay v Auckland
  • Otago v Tasman

29/09:

  • North Harbour v Canterbury
  • Southland v Waikato
  • Taranaki v Manawatū

2/10:

  • Tasman v Auckland

Predictions:

  • Wellington 15+
  • BoP 21+
  • Hawke's Bay 1-^1^
  • Tasman 12+
  • North Harbour 6-
  • Waikato 12+
  • Taranaki 50+

1 - I don't know if Folau Fakatava is back from injury yet or not; he's been out the last two games and without him as a 2nd playmaker my Magpies have been dreadful. No ability to relieve pressure means two massive hidings in a row. This is a prediction from the heart, not the head :)

Notes:

Its now the second to last round, and mathematically probably only Manawatū are definitively outside of the top 8, but I think we can assume that Northland and Southland are also no chance given at best they can only be expecting to win 1/2.

Otago are also only likely to win 1 more match so there's the 4 wooden spooners confirmed and we only need to pick two more teams to stay or slip out of the top 8.

Auckland have had a terrible season, but have 3 games in hand, so could pick up another 15 points, except they are playing Hawke's Bay, Tasman & BoP so are only likely to win 1, they should finish somewhere around 24 points.

North Harbour could beat Canterbury, and should beat Southland so are potentially looking at a points upside of 6-10 points, but Counties-Manukau have a guaranteed win against Manawatū so for Harbour to make it they really need to push for a win against the Rams.

Waikato should pick up another 4-5 points against Southland, even if they lose to Canterbury the following week so are probably safe.

So, weirdly the two other teams that are at some risk are Hawke's Bay & Canterbury, purely because neither of their next two games are guaranteed wins. The Rams are probably more likely to get a win given the Magpies woeful form since losing the Shield, but i'd say both of them are likely safe - even if the 'pies get the job done with bonus points rather than wins.

As for the top of the table, well with a game in hand, the high spending Tasman Makos are most likely to take 1st place again, followed by Wellington. Taranaki & BoP will both get wins this round, so if Auckland continue to suck and Tasman continue to be good, BoP will secure 3rd in the final game of the round-robin ahead of the playoffs.

 
  • All Blacks v Wallabies
  • Argentina v South Africa

Big news ahead of Bledisloe 1 is that Beauden Barrett is out with illness which sees Jordan move to 15, Reece comes on at 14 with Harry Plumber being named on the reserve bench.

That suggests he’s leapt ahead of Havili as the utility player - and in a way it actually does make a lot of sense. Jordan, JB & McKenzie give 3 options at 15, Plumber gives cover at 10 & 12, and ALB gives 12 & 13 cover with the option of Ioane heading to the wing too. Very versatile backs.

 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 7 6 6 30
2 Tasman 6 6 4 28
3 BoP 7 5 7 27
4 Hawke's Bay 7 5 7 27
5 Waikato 7 4 6 22
6 Taranaki 7 4 4 20
7 Canterbury 7 4 4 20
8 Counties-Manukau 7 3 5 17
9 North Harbour 6 2 8 16
10 Southland 7 2 4 12
11 Otago 7 2 4 12
12 Auckland 6 2 4 12
13 Northland 7 1 4 8
14 Manawatū 7 1 3 7

Fixtures:

20/09

  • Hawke's Bay v Taranaki

21/09

  • Northland v North Harbour
  • Canterbury v Counties-Manukau
  • Wellington v BoP

22/09

  • Waikato v Tasman
  • Auckland v Southland
  • Manawatū v Otago

25/09

  • Taranaki v North Harbour

Predictions:

  • Hawke's Bay 3+ (going with my heart on this one bc after last weekend, the head says its going to be a struggle)
  • North Harbour 14+
  • Canterbury 10+
  • Wellington 4+
  • Tasman 10+
  • Auckland 10+
  • Otago 5+
  • Taranaki 10+

Notes: Including this weekend there are 3 rounds left until the quarter-finals, the current top 4 should make the top 8 though all of them would be hoping for at least 1 win from the next 3 matches. Especially with Tasman & Taranaki having a game in hand, the former should be eyeing up top of the table.

Of course, they're a very good team, and clearly well resourced given the talent they have signed up so anything outside of top 4 would have been a fail. I'd say the top 7 are probably going to make the playoffs and its really just about whether North Harbour or Counties-Manukau squeek in last place.

 

Write up from my old mate Max Rashbrooke on the success of the school lunch program, and the likely impacts of the cuts to the program from the National-Act-NZ First government.

 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 6 6 6 30
2 Hawke's Bay 6 5 7 27
3 Tasman 5 5 3 23
4 BoP 6 4 6 22
5 Taranaki 5 4 4 20
6 Waikato 6 3 5 17
7 Canterbury 6 3 3 15
8 Otago 6 2 4 12
9 Counties-Manukau 6 2 4 12
10 North Harbour 5 1 7 11
11 Southland 5 2 7 11
12 Auckland 5 1 3 7
13 Northland 6 1 3 7
14 Manawatū 5 0 2 2

Fixtures:

13/09:

  • Southland v Canterbury

14/09:

  • BoP v Taranaki
  • North Harbour v Manawatū
  • Waikato v Hawke's Bay

15/09:

  • Counties-Manukau v Otago
  • Tasman v Wellington
  • Northland v Auckland

18/09:

  • Manawatū v Southland

Predictions: Canterbury 9- BoP 5+ North Harbour 25+ Hawke's Bay 5- Otago 5- Wellington 3+ Auckland 9- Southland 5-

Notes: Well, after the absolute tragedy that befell Hawke's Bay in their Shield defense against the Mako, i'm hoping Wellington will visit Nelson and at least ensure that Tasman only get to celebrate for a week.

That should be a hell of a game with all of the squad ABs being released to play for their provinces and Wellington have been very good so far this season.

Last weekend saw a lot of movement in the bottom half of the table - with lots of drama as well. See if you can find clip of wet-ball-gate from the Battle of the Bridge. Absolute dastardly shithousery robbed North Harbour.

There's plenty of other good matches ahead this weekend too - BoP v Taranaki should settle who's in 4th place, and the mid-week home game for the Turbos could be their only chance of picking up a win this season.

I'm glad the tests are over for this weekend, hopefully the rugby pundits down here will pay some attention to the NPC in their shows. But likely it'll get a passing mention while they spend 45 minutes talking up the Wobblies and then at the end of the season they'll have another moan about how nobody cares about the NPC.

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