TagMeInSkipIGotThis

joined 2 years ago
[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 1 points 4 hours ago

Yeah, seems like a pretty bad hot take to me.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 6 days ago

Given you revert to pejoratives so readily, I have nothing further. Good day!

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 1 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (2 children)

There are (and/or have been) more than 5 nuclear powers*, that's not the only thing that sets them apart.

"Whataboutism" is a very convenient way to disengage from the point I was making. Regardless, if China must be repelled from Taiwan, and there is only one position in that conflict we can justifiably take - what is the justification? Why can we only side with a potential US led alliance instead of choosing any other side or sitting it out?

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 1 points 6 days ago (4 children)

Sweet, you've done Russia & China, now do the USA, France & the UK? These are the 5 permanent members of the security council, and i'd guess probably not coincidentally are the 5 empires that survived the aftermath of WW2 and are all responsible for historic and ongoing questionable behaviour.

Obviously there are differing amounts of good or bad any one of these imperial countries might have, are, or will do - but you can't pretend that there is one perfectly good or one perfectly bad empire. That suggests that there is a variety of positions to take on any future conflict between those powers.

If conflict occurs is where & when NZ's choices get constrained. We then need to make deliberations about how we can guarantee our sovereignty, and who could, or couldn't forcibly change decisions about who we ally with at any given point. And in today's day & age what sort of reprisal attacks could (and would likely) be made either directly against our territory, against our citizens or our infrastructure.

All of which to say is that the decision is not at all black & white, and the balance of decision making will change over time. Particularly if the US led alliance descends into the worst of their impulses it would become more & more likely that arguments get made that they're all just as bad as each other and there really is no moral right choice. If you're an anti-imperialist you'd probably say 'yeah duh!' to that.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 6 days ago (1 children)
[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Think it wasn’t far off a normal bus fare, but it’s free to the hospital where my partner worked at the time.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 1 week ago

(I am not a construction / civil engineer)

If they pulled the first 10 rows of seats that’d probably add 5m in each direction which while still a small ground internationally would make it pretty comparable to other NZ grounds.

Our big cities don’t need dual purpose stadiums, Dunedin & Hamilton have proved that.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Watching the cricket and wondering if sanity prevails and Auckland opts for a downtown football shaped stadium for football codes instead of upgrading Eden Park (again), could they revamp the stands? Reduce some of the size, move them around, change it up such that Eden Park could become a better sized cricket ground?

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 1 week ago (5 children)

Yeah that’s the easiest comparison. You use an app and put your pick up & drop off points and then a bus like a big transit van will get routed past you. So it’s less predictable when you get to your destination as it might do more drop offs or pick ups. My partner used it a bit and reckoned 2/5 trips would be only her onboard and direct to work.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 1 points 1 week ago

Any increase to minimum wage at least close to inflation is at least 2 years off in New Zealand so in at least the short term there would be pain to those that are already pay cheque to pay cheque.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 4 points 1 week ago (7 children)

I've not used Auckland PT, but Wellington's is definitely decent, probably depending on where you live. I think the trains would work better if they were faster, and thus more frequent - its probably difficult to make them much bigger given the platform lengths.

Some areas the bus services are a bit borderline, but would work better with less private vehicles to contend with. And to make PT even better some smaller busses with dynamic routing (like is trialled in Heretaunga-Hawkes Bay) could be the missing link that makes cross network travel much better.

The only thing is the routing algorithm would need work because up here what's tended to happen is that they've kinda just become large subsidised taxis for individual or groups going point to point rather than a vehicle travelling across the network picking up & dropping off along the way.

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 2 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Yeah, I mean setting aside non-graphical OS's (DOS, various flavours of *nix) that i've installed, i've used linux, windows & macs in the last 10 years and done the OS install on each of them and there is essentially no difference between the three that would hold back anyone who has done an install using one of them to do any of the others.

I can't accurately assess how difficult it might be for someone who has never done an install, ive been using & breaking computers since the 80s so have done it so many times that any quirks that pop up are just quirks, not deal breakers.

 

Posting purely because we all need to talk about how rad that catch from GP was.

 

Just starting an early thread as there's injury news that will impact the weekend.

 

The NZ based franchises & Moana Pasifika are all announcing their squads for the 2025 season today. On the hour, in NZDT:

  • Hurricanes 10am
  • Crusaders 11am
  • Chiefs 12pm
  • Moana Pasifika 1pm
  • Highlanders 2pm
  • Blues 3pm
 

I hated Cheika when he was the Wallabies coach and having ding dong battles with the ABs. But since he's coached around the place and learning a lot more about his story i've begun to find him a much more interesting and charming coach than I ever gave him credit for.

This is a great interview, well worth a listen and i'm so far barely half way through it.

 

I guess week 1 was really NZ v Japan last week, but somehow I don't think that really counts.

Ran out of puff at the end of the NPC so haven't been posting much, but lets have a thread to discuss this weekend's matches.

 

Super Rugby obviously has a bit of a weird structure now with only 11 teams after the Melbourne Rebels collapsed.

It got me thinking a bit about what NZR & ARU could change assuming no other countries are going to join, and one thing I wondered was whether New Zealand should deliberately weaken our Super franchises to help make the Australian ones more competitive & hopefully make their public a bit more interested (if they win more).

So I started to think about what the population spread was like around New Zealand and one thing that really sticks out is how bottom heavy our current distribution of clubs is. 1 million punters in the South Island get 2 franchises, but 4.5m odd North Islanders only get 3 + Moana Pasifika. Its actually a bit silly that the Highlanders still exist given the population shifts since the 90s.

Anyway, that made me wonder if it might be possible to in effect add a 6th New Zealand franchise - which including MP would make 7 based in New Zealand in total, so came up with this before & after table to show how its a much more equitable split. And then 7 NZ, 4 Aus & 1 Fiji gets us back to 12 Franchises and at least in NZ gets more games in front of more people.

Super Franchise Population Approx Provinces Population (2018) Stadiums Capacity
Auckland Blues 1850k Northland 186k Semenoff Stadium 19k
Counties-Manukau ^1^ Navigation Homes Stadium 12k
North Harbour ^1^ North Harbour Stadium 25k
Auckland 1655k Eden Park 50k
Waikato Chiefs 920k Bay of Plenty 321k Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark 26k & 20k
Waikato 476k FMG Stadium 25k
Taranaki 121k Yarrow Stadium 25k
Wellington Hurricanes 950k Hawke’s Bay 172k McLean Park 24k
Manawatū 248k^2^ Arena Manawatu 15k
Wellington 526k Sky Stadium 35k
Canterbury Crusaders 725k Tasman 103k^3^ Trafalgar Park 18k
Canterbury 623k One NZ Stadium^4^ 30k
Otago Highlanders 335k Otago 235k Forsyth Barr Stadium 31k
Southland 101k Rugby Park 17k
Moana Pasifika^5^ - North Harbour based - North Harbour Stadium 25k
  • 1 Included with Auckland.
  • 2 Includes Whanganui in the census data.
  • 3 From 2026 I think the new stadium is supposed to be in use.
  • 4 Includes Marlborough, same as the NPC Province
  • 5 Moana Pasifika are currently, and for the forseeable future going to be playing most of their matches in New Zealand, neither Samoa nor Tonga have stadiums and infrastructure setup to host like Fiji Drua have.
  • Population regions not included:
    • Gisborne 50k - because its quite remote from either Hurricanes or Chiefs
    • West Coast South Island 32k - because its remote from everywhere
New Regional Franchise Provinces Population Approx Stadiums
Auckland North Northland 850k Semenoff Stadium
North Harbour North Harbour Stadium
Auckland South Auckland 850k Eden Park
Counties-Manukau Navigation Homes Stadium
West North Island Waikato 600k FMG Stadium
Taranaki Yarrow Stadium
East North Island Bay of Plenty 550k^6^ Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark
Hawke’s Bay McLean Park
Bottom North Island Wellington 770k Sky Stadium
Manawatū Arena Manawatu
Canterbury Crusaders Tasman 725k Trafalgar Park
Canterbury One NZ Stadium
Otago Highlanders Otago 335k Forsyth Barr Stadium
Southland Rugby Park
  • 6 I included Gisborne population in this one as with a franchise based in this part of the country they are a bit more included than they are with the Chiefs or Hurricanes.
 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Tasman 9 8 5 37
2 Wellington 9 7 7 35
3 Taranaki 9 7 7 35
4 BoP 9 6 9 33
5 Hawke's Bay 9 6 8 32
6 Waikato 9 5 8 28
7 Canterbury 9 5 5 25
8 Counties-Manukau 9 4 7 23
9 North Harbour 9 3 11 23
10 Otago 9 4 5 21
11 Auckland 9 3 7 19
12 Northland 9 2 5 13
13 Southland 9 2 4 12
14 Manawatū 9 1 5 9

Fixtures: 4/10:

  • Northland v Otago

5/10:

  • Manawatū v Counties-Manukau
  • Southland v North Harbour
  • Wellington v Hawke's Bay
  • Canterbury v Waikato

6/10:

  • Tasman v Taranaki
  • Auckland v Bay of Plenty

Notes: Auckland managing to fail against Hawke's Bay on the Saturday didn't bode well for their effort to take the shield off Tasman, and sure enough they failed again so bar a miracle where they manage to beat BoP and the two worst teams pick up wins they're out. Ditto for Otago.

The drama in this round is basically down to how many bonus points North Harbour pick up against Southland, compared to Counties-Manukau against the Manawatū Turbos who are awful.

Beyond that there's still another couple of big games. Given recent form Hawke's Bay are unlikely to be much of a challenge for Wellington, but the Tasman v Taranaki game should determine who gets 2nd place and later that day Waikato & Canterbury are basically playing to determine which team they have to travel to for the quarter finals.

4
NZ NPC Round 8 (self.rugby)
submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by TagMeInSkipIGotThis to c/rugby@sh.itjust.works
 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 8 7 7 35
2 Tasman 7 7 4 32
3 Taranaki 8 6 6 30
4 BoP 8 5 8 28
5 Hawke's Bay 8 5 7 27
6 Canterbury 8 5 5 25
7 Waikato 8 4 7 23
8 Counties-Manukau 8 3 6 18
9 North Harbour 8 2 10 18
10 Auckland 7 3 5 17
11 Otago 8 3 4 16
12 Northland 8 2 5 13
13 Southland 8 2 4 12
14 Manawatū 8 1 3 7

Fixtures: 27/09:

  • Counties-Manukau v Wellington

28/09:

  • BoP v Northland
  • Hawke's Bay v Auckland
  • Otago v Tasman

29/09:

  • North Harbour v Canterbury
  • Southland v Waikato
  • Taranaki v Manawatū

2/10:

  • Tasman v Auckland

Predictions:

  • Wellington 15+
  • BoP 21+
  • Hawke's Bay 1-^1^
  • Tasman 12+
  • North Harbour 6-
  • Waikato 12+
  • Taranaki 50+

1 - I don't know if Folau Fakatava is back from injury yet or not; he's been out the last two games and without him as a 2nd playmaker my Magpies have been dreadful. No ability to relieve pressure means two massive hidings in a row. This is a prediction from the heart, not the head :)

Notes:

Its now the second to last round, and mathematically probably only Manawatū are definitively outside of the top 8, but I think we can assume that Northland and Southland are also no chance given at best they can only be expecting to win 1/2.

Otago are also only likely to win 1 more match so there's the 4 wooden spooners confirmed and we only need to pick two more teams to stay or slip out of the top 8.

Auckland have had a terrible season, but have 3 games in hand, so could pick up another 15 points, except they are playing Hawke's Bay, Tasman & BoP so are only likely to win 1, they should finish somewhere around 24 points.

North Harbour could beat Canterbury, and should beat Southland so are potentially looking at a points upside of 6-10 points, but Counties-Manukau have a guaranteed win against Manawatū so for Harbour to make it they really need to push for a win against the Rams.

Waikato should pick up another 4-5 points against Southland, even if they lose to Canterbury the following week so are probably safe.

So, weirdly the two other teams that are at some risk are Hawke's Bay & Canterbury, purely because neither of their next two games are guaranteed wins. The Rams are probably more likely to get a win given the Magpies woeful form since losing the Shield, but i'd say both of them are likely safe - even if the 'pies get the job done with bonus points rather than wins.

As for the top of the table, well with a game in hand, the high spending Tasman Makos are most likely to take 1st place again, followed by Wellington. Taranaki & BoP will both get wins this round, so if Auckland continue to suck and Tasman continue to be good, BoP will secure 3rd in the final game of the round-robin ahead of the playoffs.

 
  • All Blacks v Wallabies
  • Argentina v South Africa

Big news ahead of Bledisloe 1 is that Beauden Barrett is out with illness which sees Jordan move to 15, Reece comes on at 14 with Harry Plumber being named on the reserve bench.

That suggests he’s leapt ahead of Havili as the utility player - and in a way it actually does make a lot of sense. Jordan, JB & McKenzie give 3 options at 15, Plumber gives cover at 10 & 12, and ALB gives 12 & 13 cover with the option of Ioane heading to the wing too. Very versatile backs.

 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 7 6 6 30
2 Tasman 6 6 4 28
3 BoP 7 5 7 27
4 Hawke's Bay 7 5 7 27
5 Waikato 7 4 6 22
6 Taranaki 7 4 4 20
7 Canterbury 7 4 4 20
8 Counties-Manukau 7 3 5 17
9 North Harbour 6 2 8 16
10 Southland 7 2 4 12
11 Otago 7 2 4 12
12 Auckland 6 2 4 12
13 Northland 7 1 4 8
14 Manawatū 7 1 3 7

Fixtures:

20/09

  • Hawke's Bay v Taranaki

21/09

  • Northland v North Harbour
  • Canterbury v Counties-Manukau
  • Wellington v BoP

22/09

  • Waikato v Tasman
  • Auckland v Southland
  • Manawatū v Otago

25/09

  • Taranaki v North Harbour

Predictions:

  • Hawke's Bay 3+ (going with my heart on this one bc after last weekend, the head says its going to be a struggle)
  • North Harbour 14+
  • Canterbury 10+
  • Wellington 4+
  • Tasman 10+
  • Auckland 10+
  • Otago 5+
  • Taranaki 10+

Notes: Including this weekend there are 3 rounds left until the quarter-finals, the current top 4 should make the top 8 though all of them would be hoping for at least 1 win from the next 3 matches. Especially with Tasman & Taranaki having a game in hand, the former should be eyeing up top of the table.

Of course, they're a very good team, and clearly well resourced given the talent they have signed up so anything outside of top 4 would have been a fail. I'd say the top 7 are probably going to make the playoffs and its really just about whether North Harbour or Counties-Manukau squeek in last place.

 

Write up from my old mate Max Rashbrooke on the success of the school lunch program, and the likely impacts of the cuts to the program from the National-Act-NZ First government.

 

Table:

Pos. Team P W B PTS
1 Wellington 6 6 6 30
2 Hawke's Bay 6 5 7 27
3 Tasman 5 5 3 23
4 BoP 6 4 6 22
5 Taranaki 5 4 4 20
6 Waikato 6 3 5 17
7 Canterbury 6 3 3 15
8 Otago 6 2 4 12
9 Counties-Manukau 6 2 4 12
10 North Harbour 5 1 7 11
11 Southland 5 2 7 11
12 Auckland 5 1 3 7
13 Northland 6 1 3 7
14 Manawatū 5 0 2 2

Fixtures:

13/09:

  • Southland v Canterbury

14/09:

  • BoP v Taranaki
  • North Harbour v Manawatū
  • Waikato v Hawke's Bay

15/09:

  • Counties-Manukau v Otago
  • Tasman v Wellington
  • Northland v Auckland

18/09:

  • Manawatū v Southland

Predictions: Canterbury 9- BoP 5+ North Harbour 25+ Hawke's Bay 5- Otago 5- Wellington 3+ Auckland 9- Southland 5-

Notes: Well, after the absolute tragedy that befell Hawke's Bay in their Shield defense against the Mako, i'm hoping Wellington will visit Nelson and at least ensure that Tasman only get to celebrate for a week.

That should be a hell of a game with all of the squad ABs being released to play for their provinces and Wellington have been very good so far this season.

Last weekend saw a lot of movement in the bottom half of the table - with lots of drama as well. See if you can find clip of wet-ball-gate from the Battle of the Bridge. Absolute dastardly shithousery robbed North Harbour.

There's plenty of other good matches ahead this weekend too - BoP v Taranaki should settle who's in 4th place, and the mid-week home game for the Turbos could be their only chance of picking up a win this season.

I'm glad the tests are over for this weekend, hopefully the rugby pundits down here will pay some attention to the NPC in their shows. But likely it'll get a passing mention while they spend 45 minutes talking up the Wobblies and then at the end of the season they'll have another moan about how nobody cares about the NPC.

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