this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2026
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The current conception of 'progress' took centuries to spread. Current challenges aside, we tend to think of the future as being better than the past - we'll know more and be able to do more.
The prevailing view in most of the world for most of human history was one of decline from a once-glorious past. The future was seen as uncertain, and either static or apocalyptic ('the end of days' thinking was very common across cultures with written records).
I'd argue a big reason why there has been so much advancement in the last few centuries is precisely because we realized it is possible. The idea of progress has been somewhat self-sustaining. We'll see if it continues - personally I feel like we have hit diminishing returns for things that meaningfully impact daily life.
I think there have always been people who wanted to make progress, but the "boohoo we used to build pyramids" crowd is extremely vocal and over represented, even today
I think that the lowest hanging fruit for new science and technology right now is in psychology. Once mainstream academia realises that belief is an independent variable that can be manipulated, we're gonna see some awesome mental technologies. This is what chaos magicians already do. But chaotes are an underground culture with few resources. I want to see what psy-tech (magic) can do when it's mainstreamed.