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this post was submitted on 24 Oct 2026
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politics
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I will be giddy if Dems win enough seats to have the 2/3 of both house and senate it takes to do so.
There aren't even enough open seats for them to win that many.
If they do that, don't they then also have enough power to impeach?
The key part to impeachment is the vote to convict. That's where his prior impeachments failed. In my fantasy where they had 2/3 of both houses they could do it, sure, but my comment was kinda joking - I'm not sure there are enough seats up for election in this cycle for them to get to that point even if they won everything.
He’s been impeached three times already. It doesn’t carry any weight anymore.
If that happens and sticks (and he is removed from the presidency), come back to this comment and I will send you $1,000. No joke.
I'm not worried. But I promise I will honour this.
Sounds like a deal! 🙂
There's a negative chance of this happening. So most likely you owe him 1,000. I don't know how that's possible but I'm certain of it.
Dems would have to win all but two of the thirty-three 2026 Senate races to reach 67 votes (including independents). I wouldn't hold my breath.
Assuming no Republicans cross the aisle. That's a fairly reasonable assumption today because the Republican party has been purged of anyone who would be willing to cross Trump.
But I suspect that assumption might not remain so valid if we were to see the kind of blue tsunami it would take to get anywhere near 2/3 of the Senate. Even if you only had 64 seats instead of 67, that still means almost every state went blue, including most of the deep red ones. Any politician with basic survival instincts is going to recognize that tying themselves to the lame duck president that has practically destroyed their party is not going to be a good long term strategy.
It's not much more plausible a scenario than one where Dems win a full supermajority, but if it were to happen, I would be shocked if every single Republican chose to go down with the ship.
all of the senators are so old that I bet a lot of them don't give a shit about long term strategy
Being older than dirt doesn't seem to stop them from trying to get reelected.
54 seats is the current upper bound of projections for the Democrats in the Senate, let alone 67. Even the moderately Republican-favoring Senate races of South Carolina, Florida, and Nebraska additionally all going blue—currently unlikely—would only take it to 57.
Perhaps enough to prevent a filibuster on contentious issues with enough bipartisan support, but not enough to overturn a veto in most cases.
you also need the super-majority in the house for veto overrides.
it's actually 'easier' to impeach and convict a president than it is to override one of their vetoes.
Right, I wasn’t saying this was a realistic scenario. Just saying that the minimum number of seats they would have to have is not necessarily the same as the number of votes.
They get a 2/3 majority but it depends on John Fetterman. A finger on the monkey’s paw curls …
my bet is that democrats pick up +3 seats and fetterman decides to either caucus with the Republicans or at minimum threaten to spoil every vote.