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[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 42 points 4 days ago

headline is clickbait. here's the only thing it relies on:

According to new reporting by the BBC, photovoltaics will account for 10 percent of the world’s power generation by the end of 2026, a threshold which will see solar energy officially surpass nuclear fission.

Compared to nuclear energy generation — which has stayed largely flat over the past 26 years globally — the publication notes the volume of solar energy being generated has exploded, increasing some 2,700 times over across the same period.

so it's saying that nuclear usage share is so low that solar will very soon generate more power than it, not that solar panels are now more efficient than nuclear

[-] Jason2357@lemmy.ca 5 points 4 days ago

How do you read "solar is more efficient than Nuclear" from that title? And what would that even mean? The title is clearly about the amount of solar power generation, not efficiency.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 4 days ago

you know how usually you look at statistics and assume they're per capita? that was my mistake, though replace per capita here with per unit

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 7 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

they're more economically efficient than nuclear, which means they give you more bang for the buck

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago

so it’s saying that nuclear usage share is so low that solar will very soon generate more power than it, not that solar panels are now more efficient than nuclear

We've known the ROI on Solar/Wind has been better than Nuclear for decades.

Nuclear usage is flat because it isn't profitable to build or operate. The efficiency of Renewables is economic efficiency. Cheap scaling, low overhead, high profit margin

[-] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 4 points 4 days ago

The main advantage nuclear has is size. It can produce more power per hectare of land than either solar or wind can, and this will be even more the case if the small scale reactors that Canada has been researching ever become a thing - basically a power plant in a shipping container, meant to service remote communities.

[-] isleepinahammock@lemmy.blahaj.zone 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

People have been trying to do small scale fission for decades. They always slam headfirst into the square cubed law and the fact that fission plants were built giant for a damn good reason. Fission is so cost inefficient that the only remote hope you can have of making it profitable is if you build giant reactors and hope for big economies of scale. The hope of building small reactors on assembly lines has proven to be a pipe dream. Many have tried it, and it has failed again and again.

[-] meltedcheese@c.im 2 points 4 days ago

@Omgpwnies @technology Power density and the ability to generate large amounts of power quickly. There is less need for new methods of power storage (e.g., batteries).

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Which is definitely helpful for utility that's constrained by space. For instance, with the nuclear powered freight shipping that Jiangnan Shipyard is looking to pioneer.

But for urban grid power or industrial production at the continental scale, space isn't an issue. One reason why states like Texas and California are running away with renewable power even in the face of hostile political headwinds. Real estate is far cheaper than the energy is produces.

[-] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

For the places that have enough land and environmental conditions suitable for wind/solar, that is true. In remote communities, just getting the materials for a wind farm there is incredibly difficult if there's no warm water port for a ship to deliver the blades for instance. A nuclear reactor in a shipping container can be driven by transport on the logging roads or even air-lifted in. It's not a universal solution, it's something specific to fit a community's unique needs.

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

For the places that have enough land and environmental conditions suitable for wind/solar, that is true.

Again, who doesn't have this access?

In remote communities, just getting the materials for a wind farm there is incredibly difficult

Remote communities don't have the kind of energy demand that nuclear power fulfills. Nevermind how it's always going to be more expensive to build a nuclear generator than a big fan connected to a dynamo.

It’s not a universal solution

It doesn't need to be, when the bulk of what we're trying to replace is coal and natural gas.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 4 days ago

I agree with this; I think the "universal" argument and subsequent infighting is propped up by the oil lobby to slow us down. I just think it's important to highlight how efficient nuclear is. We should be using both good tools to solve this and part of that is knowing how good both are so they're not unnecessarily ignored.

[-] Jason2357@lemmy.ca 1 points 4 days ago

That argument holds for existing proven tech like large nuclear and solar, but convincing governments to invest in unproven and unlikly tech is a great way to prevent actual transition to occur at all. They sop up cash and give governments reasons to build nothing now, or eventually build expensive tiny demonstration systems that do not effect the overall fossil fuel market. That list would include things like small modular reactors, hydrogen power, fusion, etc.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

i am very divided over SMRs, but large traditional reactors have been proven many times over, and in any case investing in unproven tech (by any government but the US) is what led solar to be this good now in the first place

[-] Jason2357@lemmy.ca 1 points 4 days ago

Yes. But in proving them, we learned that efficiency of scale is required.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 days ago

not sure what that means. large traditional reactors are a lot more efficient, especially at scale, though more costly due to historical and current lack of subsidies.

[-] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Again, who doesn't have this access?

There are communities in northern Ontario that are only accessibly by airplane ~6 months of the year, and those 6 months also have very low amounts of sunlight. They're not quite north enough to be completely dark all day, but they only get a few hours of useable light per day in the winter.

This means that a) solar is less effective in the winter, and b) if there is damage to a wind turbine blade in the winter, they may not be able to get a replacement until spring.

Remote communities don't have the kind of energy demand that nuclear power fulfills

Each reactor cell produces about 1MW, which is about enough to power a small town of about 1,000 people. They can also be air-lifted meaning if it needs to be replaced during the winter, that is still possible.

[-] Jason2357@lemmy.ca 2 points 4 days ago

SMRs will be neat if they actually work, but there is no demostration that they can be remotely economically feasible. Even considering carbon emissions, it would be cheaper and more effective to improve the carbon footprint of the main power grid by a tiny fraction of a percent and then just give those small northern communities modern fossil fuel plants, maybe supplemented with renewables over time.

For large northern communities, grid connections are going to be the eventual solution either way.

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

if there is damage to a wind turbine blade in the winter, they may not be able to get a replacement until spring.

And if there's damage to a nuclear facility?

[-] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

They hook it up to a helicopter and take it away. It's literally in a shipping container.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 4 days ago

Only because solar/wind's been subsidized (by nearly everybody but the US and Russia) to heck. This is like saying trains aren't profitable because of how much the US subsidizes roads. Even then, nuclear ROI is still better in the long term, it just comes slower.

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 3 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Only because solar/wind’s been subsidized

Nothing has been more subsidized than nuclear energy. It's entire existence is predicated on public R&D. Virtually all of its generators are public projects. It's a notorious money loser to operate. We still don't have a good solution for nuclear waste, so that gets stashed on public lands and in Superfund sites, too.

That's not the reason it lags the alternatives, though. If public spending got us cheap energy with zero trade offs, everyone would be France by now.

Solar/Wind, by contrast, get dogshit subsidies both relative to nuclear and fossil fuels. It outperforms in defiance of subsidies, often growing market share in states that are actively hostile to its expansion.

Even in the face of enormous cuts to public spending and bailouts to coal, under Trump 1 & 2, renewables increased their market share.

That's because renewables aren't just efficient, they're profitable. Enormously profitable. The private sector loves high margins on their capex spend, and renewables consistently deliver.

[-] wewbull@feddit.uk 2 points 4 days ago

Even France is replacing nuclear with other sources in the long term.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 days ago

Nothing has been more subsidized than nuclear energy. It's entire existence is predicated on public R&D.

You seem to be implying that solar cells weren't. I don't believe that is true. Photovoltaics were brought about by US the government for satellites. (PV was initially discovered privately, but so was nuclear.) Solar was considered a notorious money loser to the point where it was only deployed for spaceflight. It was only after 60 years of public R&D that private commercial solar became variable in the 2010s.

We still don't have a good solution for nuclear waste, so that gets stashed on public lands

This I'll concede. In fact, in the US, it's worse than "public lands": it's often indigenous reservations, so land the US doesn't even own and sacred sites.

I'll note that despite this being indeed a very big issue, nuclear land use is still two orders of magnitude less than solar for equivalent energy generation.

Virtually all of its generators are public projects. [...] Solar/Wind, by contrast, get dogshit subsidies both relative to nuclear and fossil fuels.

Not true at all. In FY 2016 alone, US subsidies were just 415 million to nuclear, compared to 3036 million for solar (https://www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/pdf/subsidy.pdf Tables A3, A4). That's nearly an order of magnitude. Nuclear is operated by companies just as solar is.

Solar only became the knockout winner it is today after 70 years of intense research. Nuclear only got 40. I am simply saying we should give it the fair chance before you can say that there really is no potential.

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

You seem to be implying that solar cells weren’t. I don’t believe that is true

Tell it to Bell Labs. Tell it to the the Solar Energy Industries Association. Idk why Americans couldn't get on the ball publicly. But solar was squarely in the private domain for generations.

Photovoltaics were brought about by US the government for satellites.

They were brought about by the industrialization of satellites, certainly. But the R&D was all heavily privatized by and for the private telecommunications sector.

When the US began rolling out large scale solar power plants in earnest, Walmart became the nation's largest installer and purchaser. No state or federal department came close to it.

The largest investors in new build construction are NRG Energy and Google. Even the state regulated utilities lag behind.

Solar only became the knockout winner it is today after 70 years of intense research.

Largely overseas and financed by foreign governments or private firms. The US efforts at subsidizing solar are regularly stymied and gutted by conservative governments.

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

Tell it to the US Council for Energy Awareness. The existence of Bell Labs was a bit of an aberration as AT&T was effectively a government-supported monopoly. They had a consent decree with the government to release innovations into the public domain so AT&T would not be broken up as a monopoly. In fact, since 1913 it had official recognition by the government as the natural telephone monopoly, until of course its breakup in the '70s.

Solar R&D was hardly private. You're completely excluding things like the U.S. National Science Foundation's Advanced Solar Energy Research and Development Division. I only haven't mentioned things like the Atomic Energy Commission because that seems obvious, not that there is no solar analogue for these things.

When the US began rolling out large scale solar power plants in earnest, Walmart became the nation's largest installer and purchaser.

Amazon is still the largest purchaser of solar. If the implication here is meant to be that solar's biggest supporters are private, no state or federal department ever came close to being the largest installer and purchaser of nuclear power plants because there are absolutely no public-sector nuclear power plants. All builders are private. Westinghouse of Nikola Tesla fame has been the top builder for a very long time and was bought out by private equity (thanks to a bankruptcy, sure, but that bankruptcy can be blamed on Bush's rugpull shortly after announcing long-term nuclear funding, the Great Recession, and Fukushima).

This is also to say nothing of

The US efforts at subsidizing solar are regularly stymied and gutted by conservative governments.

And yet, my point is, even they're still subsidizing solar orders of magnitude more than nuclear! I am simply saying we should give it the fair chance before you can say that there really is no potential.

[-] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 1 points 22 hours ago* (last edited 22 hours ago)

AT&T was effectively a government-supported monopoly

It was certainly a monopoly. But hardly government supported. The government has issued major sanction against the company no less than three times.

  • The Kingsbury Commitment, which forced AT&T to divest its stake in Western Union, stop acquiring competing independent local phone companies, and allow other companies to connect to its long-distance network
  • The 1956 Consent Decree, requiring AT&T to stay out of the emerging computer/data processing market and license its transistor patents royalty-free
  • The 1984 Bell System Breakup, which formally split the comment company eight ways.

Solar R&D was hardly private. You’re completely excluding things like the U.S. National Science Foundation’s Advanced Solar Energy Research and Development Division.

The NSF has always languished in funding and has historically failed to deliver major breakthroughs, much less any kind of physical rollout, of a public solar/wind energy grid.

If anything, it has operated as an echo chamber of the fossil fuel industry, downplaying the efficiency and ultimate profitability of a renewable grid.

Hardly a subsidy.

And yet, my point is, even they’re still subsidizing solar orders of magnitude more than nuclear!

Show me the solar powered submarine.

Show me the solar powered aircraft carrier.

Show me any meaningful federally contracted project to implement solar power for domestic or international consumption.

At the very least, I can point you towards Georgia's Vogtle 3 and 4. Nothing like that exists in the renewable space.

[-] rafoix@lemmy.zip 1 points 4 days ago

Nuclear power plants are much more subsidized than almost anything on the planet.

How many private sector nuclear power plants are there? How profitable are they? What is the cost per watt?

[-] Aatube@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

https://lemmy.dbzer0.com/comment/28903948

There are zero public-sector nuclear plants in the US.

It is literally impossible to operate a fission plant without government subsidies. Private insurers won't touch the things, as the potential damage they can do in a worst case scenario is something only the budgets of nation states can absorb. Nuclear plants always rely on national insurance schemes to make them viable.

[-] rafoix@lemmy.zip 1 points 4 days ago

Solar is much more efficient at turning investment per watt than every over form of energy production. It has been so for years.

this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2026
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