Shockingly the comments are calling out that there’s no way the 30% stock market rise is happening, among other things, but to single out a specific comment:

“RSI in 2026 isn't predicted by that forecast. They predict AI-assisted speedups of progress. We are currently observing that, in fact a little ahead of schedule. According to METR's best guess, we have the level of speedup now that AI 2027 had expected in Mar 2027. It isn't "misleading" for a model to present things you consider boring or incremental and then be scored as correct when the boring or incremental things happen. That's just being right”

Afaik this is a lie? METR’s time horizons graph still hasn’t updated past Claude Mythos, unless this comment is referring to another piece of METR data that I don’t know about.

Edit: quickly looked it up, they’re probably referring to this

Edit 2: yeah, I think this comment is some baloney. AI 2027’s coding ability in March 2027 is listed at 2.3x (and goes up to sped up by 30x). METR estimates Anthropic has been growing at roughly 1.9-2x the rate they were going at March 2024-Oct. 2025 (though they outright state that the estimate is given with high uncertainty)

Edit 3: BetterOffline post better explains why this is bullshit