this post was submitted on 27 Mar 2024
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At this rate, I do wonder what will happen in the near to mid future (within most of our lifetimes), say 20~50 years time.
Will things just continue to accelerate and the world as we know it around us completely changes? Or will there be something that truly drives a reversal ( say a breakthrough technology or a complete 180 in thinking/policies around the world)? Or will climate change happen at a rate that allows us to adapt to it as it changes.
It's a good question. My guess is that money will be driven to things that mitigate the effects of climate change (better cooling and insulation for houses, mass hydroponic buildings for crops, meat alternatives that can be grown in a factory), and poorer countries will see mass famine. Richer countries will start to send aid but it will be too little too late.
The other day there was that post about CFCs and how the whole world acted together to ban them and now the ozone layer is healing, and there was conversation about how the world acted swiftly and there was no leader-level denial. But I think a big difference here is that there was a single, known cause, and it had known alternatives that didn't involve anyone making big changes. Climate change is caused by a number of factors that interact with each other in ways it's hard for a layperson to understand ("why is it extra cold, I thought there was supposed to be global warming"), and there's no clear path to leading the same lifestyle without climate change.
I have near-zero faith that change will happen fast enough to mitigate the effects.
Yeah, realistically I don't see enough change happening to mitigate everything.
Add in the fact that a lot of politics around the world seems to be adamant on speeding Climate Change, sometimes I get into mini spirals thinking about potential flow on effects and how it would impact our society, and our family etc.
On my more optimistic days I see a future where plentiful, cheap energy (ie fusion) can drive technology that will halt, perhaps even reverse the damage we've done. And perhaps that's even compatible with capitalism, as there are potential profits to be made.
More often though I see a difficult, painful future for the human species, with massive famines, human displacement and wars over the resources that remain. I hope I'm wrong.
Similar here. I don't know too much about it other than reading some articles and going down mini rabbit holes of surface level research, but it really seems Fusion is something the entire world should be a lot more invested in.
Until the hoped for breakthrough technology arrives perhaps it makes sense to preseve a livable biosphere by minimizing our impact to sustainable levels? Alas I am sure that doesn't mean keep doing what we're doing.
With the direction alot of the world seems to be taking recently - especially with all these political parties/politicians that are so into Climate Change Denial, I don't have too much faith we'd be able to achieve something like that on a meaningful global scale.
30 or so years ago we were told in school that global warming is going so slow that you can't even tell in a lifetime. So... About that
During highschool (between 2000's and 2010's) I don't think there even were any conversations around climate change.
TL;DR: the west Antarctic ice sheet collapses into the ocean causing a 5m sea level rise globally. Billions dead or displaced.