Do these polls include who people voted for previously versus who they’ll vote for now? (Sorry, I have no idea what the questionnaire looks like.) It would be interesting to see where the Opportunity votes are coming from.
this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2026
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I suspect most of them are coming from Labour and Green voters.
Probably although I bet there's some National voters too. National's unpopularity is at historic levels so there's lots up for grabs.
Or potentially new young voters or people who never voted before
Hopefully, I really think everyone that can vote should vote.
Make it mandatory!
Indeed
There seems to be a lot of upset people on the right and the left because of the fact that top can potentially swing either way.
“You don’t know what you are going to get”
Policy wise top appears to be centre left, I think it’s a good thing for nz politics as a whole if they get in.
It really depends on which policy you look at.
e.g. (not the complete list)
Left wing:
- Free public transport. IMO this is pure left wing policy, it is good and makes sense but is unambiguously left.
Right wing:
- Abundant energy. This is right wing, the government underwriting the risk in new energy development. It is working well in Australia, but this is firmly right wing.
Both left and right:
- Tax reset. This is probably the most easily painted by either side as the opposite. It is both left and right, it is tax cuts (right) and wealth redistribution (left). I think it is (if it goes through) going to be stimulatory, and directly cause growth, but could also be an inflation driver.
Not left or right:
- Clean up politics. Politics is broken, both the left and right agree on this (they just blame each other). It is politics about politics, not really left or right; it is meta policy.
I've seen that comment a few times.
They're most likely to go with Labour, that's the main party who best aligns with them, but saying that means they have a lot less bargaining power.
Labour takes the Green party for granted to an extent because they're never going to go with National, TOP stating who they will work with would be a massive mistake for them to make.
The closest they have come is saying "we will talk to the party with the highest percentage of the vote first".
Under current polling that is Labour; but if National pulls ahead, then Opportunity will talk with them first.