We're about to learn a painful lesson about delayed gratification in software engineering.
New data from China, 26,811 students tracked January 2023 through June 2025. Students using AI for homework saw their scores jump 20 percent. Completion time dropped nearly half. They aced the assignments.
Then exam season came. Those same students scored 20 to 40 percent worse when they couldn't use the tool.
The homework phase is over. The exam phase is coming.
We're doing this in software right now. Vibe coding feels incredible. Features ship fast. Nobody's asking what happens in Month 18 when the original dev has left and nobody understands the codebase.
Commercial pilots fly with autopilot for most of every flight. They're required to maintain manual flying proficiency regardless. If the system fails mid-air and the pilot can't take over, people die.
Most teams using AI right now have forgotten how to fly manually. They've become passengers in their own systems. The autopilot flies, nobody checks instruments, and the first sign of trouble will be a breach notice or outage.
Three rules:
- Command the mission. Define architecture before prompting. Ambiguity kills in code and in flight. Delegate selectively. Offload mechanical work. Keep design and security reviews human. Verify everything. Audit before production.
- Never trust the automation without checking instruments.
- Quick wins feel good. Sustainable engineering feels boring. Boring keeps systems standing.
Organisations surviving the next two years won't ship the fastest. They'll be the ones who remember how to fly without the aids.
people insisting that you actually be skilled, independently of your tools, doesn't make them Luddites. Rather, being unable to do so makes you a phony.
The luddites had a point.
They weren’t opposed to technology, but the use of technology to remove skilled labor to produce inferior products.
Also, the pilot/autopilot argument is, kinda not applicable. The pilots aren’t just fucking around- autopilot systems only manage some aspects of flying, the pilots are still fully engaged.
The pilots absolutely can just fuck around for most of the flight, and even during the critical moments of takeoff and landing, the plane can do a lot of it automatically these days.
Pilots need to actively practice flying without autopilot to keep those skills up in case the autopilot fails.
I watch a lot of airplane youtube, and this just seems to be wrong. During critical phases of flight, i.e landing and descending, the pilots have a high workload even with the autopilot. They are directing the autopilot ( which isn't obvious how to do), they're communicating, navigating, etc.
Flight crews of the 20th century sometimes had crews of 3 or 4 people to handle all the tasks that are more automated these days. We don't have dedicated flight engineers or navigators any more -- the pilots do these jobs now too.
During the cruise phase of flight, yes the pilots have a lower workload because of the autopilot. But on lots of flights, there might not be much of a cruise at all -- they climb, and then descend.
I don't know how much commercial pilots are required to hand fly the plane, but it is a high workload even with the automation -- the automation just helps them do a better job.
It can but nobody is out there flying CAT IIIc autoland approaches because its 'easier'.
The pilots job is specifically to prevent to finding out phase.
Just install a second autopilot that can take over if the first one fails!
They do in fact have like 3 autopilots for this reason
I feel like their point was that the gains of technology were not distributed fairly, which is largely the concern today. It’s not “technology is bad”, or “technology make bad thing”; rather, “the owners of the machine undercut our labor, and we lose our jobs”, which I think was true. In the modern world, there are likely less tailors, as a percentage of the working population, certainly in first world countries. Sweatshops still exist, and it’s people’s labor competing against a production line, in terms of ROI for a business.
I get the sense we all know AI isn’t going to bring about a uptopia for all people, because the economic systems don’t incentivize that. There’s some hypothetical world where this sort of technological advance could benefit all people, but it’s not the one we live in. That’s a reality & major problem for the technology (among other issues).
I certainly think the cost of labor for tech development is going to drop significantly due to the market pressures; look at all the tech layoffs. At the same time, the upside is these tools make certain projects accessible & possible, because prior, would have needed significant funding, amazing solo skills, etc. There’s new opportunities available, but it’ll come at the cost of cratering tech position compensation & job security.
I don’t know anyone in my field right now who feels safe (game dev), and I have many talented friends out of work.
Just look at any productivity vs wage growth chart from any country. Anyone who thinks that any efficiency gain will pay off for workers is either naive or part of the grift.
They did have a point. The printing press still changed the way information works
Luddites weren’t concerned about the printing press. Their fight was over mechanized looms and knitting frames.
Their concerns were mostly about losing their jobs, as well as the absolute dog shit quality the mechanical machines produced at the time.
In 1814, printers in London did have similar conniptions over the steam press, though.
Til I always assumed they were the dudes who drew the fancy letters
the luddites had a point… in the moment… kinda… but i think have largely been pretty conclusively proven wrong… clothing is now plentiful, and i doubt anyone would want to go back to paying taylors to make all their clothes for 10x more, even if the clothing would be much higher quality, which i even doubt: clothing quality doesn’t come down to artisan skill any more, it comes down to choices you make, and an artisan can still make cost cutting decisions on fabric, construction, etc
So...have you not heard the damage fast fashion did to the planet? Sure, it make making cloth quicker and cheaper and widely available, but in the end it's a huge source of chemical waste, landfill waste, and microplastic. Because clothing are so much cheaper to buy new than fixing it, we lost a lot of skilled labour to automation.
The same thing happened everywhere, automation take away human agency, and that take away skill learning. In the end humanity will suffer because less and less people gonna learn how to fix the shit that they rely on. That didn't happen on accident, that's by design. We all thought AI gonna upskill a lot of people, but i feels like instead of making a nation of artisan it gonna make a nation of 7/11. Just look at Destin's struggle to make a fucking bbq brush fully American, the nation of 300millions people can't even provide parts that fully made within the nation.
Fast fashion would be the other end of an extreme. Another way is for stores to have one of each size, you try the one you want and place an order. The store delivers in batches and enough orders are placed.
We can do that. Have we?
That’s not how clothes work, these days you either get fast fashion or tailored. There’s basically nothing left in between because of the economics of the industry. If you’re doing readymade clothing, you gotta do it at scale (and it’s never going to fit a lot of people). This is exactly what the Luddites predicted; tailored clothes for very rich people, slop for everyone else.
Maybe. I think a sizable group of people would rather put fast fashion back in the bag.
i definitely agree, but plenty leading to waste doesn’t mean that plenty is a bad thing
having enough food to not worry about food waste is definitively a good problem to have. ideally we don’t have food waste because we don’t have enough food for everyone, but just because plenty leads to waste at least initially isn’t an argument against plenty
what are you agreeing with you dummy? you definetly agree to disagree or what? fast fashion clothes become waste because people don't actually want to wear them after a few times, or even if they do the clothes are so bad they get damaged very soon.
its also not just about the waste products, its about the pollution and the destruction of our environment
Fast fashion is a different topic from the machine produced vs tailor point they're making.
Made to order is getting more and more traction, because we have machines able to fully automate it. Making higher quality clothing more available than ever
Eeh. High quality fabric is decently hard to get still, and the ability to recognise the quality of fabric is a more or less lost art for laypeople, when in times past this was something most everyone could tell.
No. They weren't proven wrong, pauperism was the consequence and it was horrible. Luckily we shifted that back to regimes that don't like to report much on terrible living and environmental conditions so we don't have the filth at our doorstep.
yeah… as i said, they had a point in the moment
in 2026 we have retraining programs and social security programs… these are the solutions to industrialisation; not ignorance… the longer you fight industrialisation the harder it hits because rather than happening gradually it happens all at once and society has a harder time absorbing it
Stupid Uyghurs, should just make use of their "retraining programs and social security programs" instead of being forced to produce our cheap shit.
china having human rights abuses is not an argument against retraining people when technology starts to make jobs redundant
Their point is that the people being abused in sweatshops aren’t the same people who are benefiting from retraining and social security. Because the Luddites were basically correct about everything
Have you seen (well, read about) 19th century working class living conditions in Britain? The main issue was always working conditions, and they were 100% right about that. And it's not an either/or, you can absolutely do industrialization without 16 hour shifts at poverty wages but that's clearly not what the plant owners were going to do. The offer was shit, and they turned it the fuck down.
It’s the sweatshops, man. The sweatshops suck. I would absolutely rather have one set of tailored clothes, vs. endless variety from sweatshops where Bangladeshi children work for pennies an hour.
I think what people don't get about the Luddites is that they were aware that the technology itself wasn't the main issue, but who owns the technology and what working conditions they offer.
IMO you can see the same thing with AI, OpenAI, Microsoft etc. clearly don't have our best interests in mind and everyone wants to do layoffs while social security is being dismantled, nevermind having a serious discussion about universal basic income or the massive resource use in the middle of a climate catastrophe.
The one glimmer of hope is open models and especially fully open source ones like K2 Horizon. Open models and tooling for running them locally are rapidly evolving such that the tech will be democratized instead of a couple capitalists having a stranglehold on the tech.