this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2023
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NZ Politics

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Guys (in the gender neutral sense), what's your gut feeling on who will win this time? (self.politics)
submitted 1 year ago by luthis to c/politics
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I don't know a single person voting Nats but my gut feeling is they will get it. And likely not by a huge margin, meaning Nat-Act govt likely.

ITT no discussing why X should or shouldn't be in, just your predictions.

Also, is it illegal to bet on elections?

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[–] luthis 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Apparently not, and odds are pretty good for Nat:

[–] TagMeInSkipIGotThis 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Those odds aren't really lining up with current polling which is putting NZFist and Act on or about the same number of seats, if not NZ1 above.

[–] liv 2 points 1 year ago

NZF often polls lower than its support on the day.

[–] Ilovethebomb 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Why so high for Act? Would they not be considered part of the government in a coalition with Nats?

[–] luthis 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yes but Seymour wouldn't be PM

[–] Ilovethebomb 2 points 1 year ago

That's only if no majority is achieved though.