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This alone should explain why history is full of catastrophes.

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[-] lokalhorst@feddit.org 15 points 1 month ago

But not all outcomes are equally likely. The probabilities is what matter in the end.

[-] SubArcticTundra@lemmy.ml 4 points 1 month ago

That's true. I suppose we build our environments and systems to alter those probabilities

[-] TheReanuKeeves@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

We chose to accelerate climate change, pollute water sources, and take our anger out on each other as a human race, all at the same time

[-] TranquilTurbulence@lemmy.zip 1 points 1 month ago

And not all failures are clearly absolute failures. It can be debatable. Some of them can also be beneficial in unexpected ways.

See also: Discovery of penicillin

[-] masterspace@lemmy.ca 9 points 1 month ago

This is a legitimate way to analyze things, and you're effectively analyzing the relative entropy of outcomes.

This is why for instance, strings will naturally tangle when exposed to random movement. There is a only a single configuration that is untangled and infinite tangled configurations, so given enough random energy will always tend towards a tangled outcome.

[-] yermaw@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 month ago

What about the N64 controllers when you and your buddies have been playing, correctly ordered p1-p4 to avoid tangles, and get called down to dinner. You come back and its just knots.

Quantum fairies or some shit idk

[-] masterspace@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

That's a little tiny Kirby in a captain falcon outfit that squeezes out of the rumble pack slot when you're not looking, just to fuck up your shit.

[-] defaultusername@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 1 month ago

I can't say I've ever had that happen playing either 4 player N64 or Gamecube, and I've played a lot of both.

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 0 points 1 month ago

uhh i think that if the string is electrically charged, then the most straight-line, untangled state is the one with lowest potential energy, so that's what the string will develop into, in the long term.

[-] Cheese_man@lemmy.world 7 points 1 month ago

This is why I hate linear planning. Pick an end goal and devise a process for approaching said goal. Correct the process as needed along the way.

Doesn't fit in a gant chart, though, so my boss never listens.

[-] GreyEyedGhost@piefed.ca 2 points 1 month ago

Business, especially big business, hates the idea of adaptive strategy. There is no guarantee you will achieve the goal, and no clear cost to do so. Small businesses, or businesses willing to take risks, will factor that in and sometimes get ahead because of it.

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

the thing is also that like 99% of small businesses that play risk like that fail. since the business is small, the cost of that is low. if the business is big, the cost of failing would be much higher.

[-] remon@ani.social 7 points 1 month ago

You just discovered entropy!

[-] JayleneSlide@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

Well, that's just plain statistics of entropy: if there are two possible outcomes, there is a 95% chance of it being the wrong outcome. :D

Throw in some Sturgeon's Law (90% of everything is shit), and we are all running to stand still.

[-] cRazi_man@europe.pub 4 points 1 month ago

Anna Karenina principle

"for success to occur in a complex endeavor, all key factors must be present and work correctly. The endeavor does not succeed when even one essential element is missing, meaning there are many different ways to fail"

[-] Today@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

Entropy, like dropping a box of spoons. But in your life you can just shift your view of what's right and wrong. People act like there's one right path - go to school, get a job, get married, have kids,... There are a billion right paths and you can choose any of them. And if you choose not to decide...

[-] Pat_Riot@lemmy.today 4 points 1 month ago

You still have made a choice 🎶🎵

[-] Apytele@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 month ago

"Society is doomed for one very simple reason: it takes dozens of men working months with millions of dollars in material to build a building, but only one dumb-ass with a bomb to bring it down." – Jason Pargin, John Dies at the End

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 1 points 1 month ago

that and the fact that the world exists regardless continue to astonish me

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

interestingly, almost all mutations are bad, but the fact that mutations exist is still the reason why life exists at all.

you could say that life developed through a series of what should have been mistakes, statistically speaking.

[-] medem@lemmy.wtf 3 points 1 month ago

A corollary to this thought is the so-called [persistent] "attacker's advantage": attackers need to do stuff just right only once to be successful, while the defender must do always, everything right to be successful at defending.

[-] gandalf_der_13te@feddit.org 1 points 1 month ago

not if the defender fights back.

[-] GreyEyedGhost@piefed.ca 2 points 1 month ago

The more general statement is it's harder to build something than it is to destroy it. There are limited paths that will reach a given goal, but nearly unlimited paths to undo that accomplishment.

[-] Miller@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Things don't actually go wrong they just don't go right.

[-] fullsquare@awful.systems 2 points 1 month ago

That's why learning on mistakes is a thing

[-] Malica@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Almost every mistake in history can be traced back to somebody abandoning reality in favor of their own.

[-] susieq0044@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 month ago

I’m stuck in the definition of what is right and wrong?

[-] TheReanuKeeves@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago

Tangled Cord Theory

[-] hungprocess@piefed.world 1 points 1 month ago

That depends upon how narrow your definition of "right" is. Sort of reminds me of this parable.

[-] AnarchoEngineer@lemmy.dbzer0.com 0 points 1 month ago

This is called Entropy

The specific type of entropy you’re describing is called “Social Entropy” but in all cases entropy is simply the fact that there are (usually) more disordered states for a system to be in than ordered ones. So if a system can undergo any sort of change, it is just generally more likely to become less-ordered than more-ordered.

this post was submitted on 30 Sep 2026
57 points (96.7% liked)

Showerthoughts

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A "Showerthought" is a simple term used to describe the thoughts that pop into your head while you're doing everyday things like taking a shower, driving, or just daydreaming. The most popular seem to be lighthearted clever little truths, hidden in daily life.

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